NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x758ed7ee3495a4c23172fa8093dc86b8e62576e050f5a401a6108ebd4aedf681
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Raptors, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,306,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,306,826 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,439 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Raptors | 31c | 215,000$66,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,512.59 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb961…66c7backed Raptors | 0c | 178,200$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.2 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Raptors | 30c | 102,915$30,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,874.39 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets | 70c | 100,000$69,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,500 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Nuggets | 71c | 91,454$64,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,841.52 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Raptors | 28c | 70,205$20,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,001.01 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Raptors | 33c | 60,672$19,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,991.99 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa491…3177backed Nuggets | 71c | 60,000$42,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,400 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f45…a321backed Nuggets | 72c | 59,813$43,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,747.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Nuggets | 64c | 57,944$37,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,923.73 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Raptors | 53c | 44,520$23,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,692.27 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Nuggets | 69c | 40,000$27,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,400 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets | 70c | 33,179$23,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,909.32 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 58c | 33,087$19,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,022.62 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Nuggets | 77c | 30,000$23,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,899.99 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 70c | 21,941$15,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,648.29 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Nuggets | 53c | 21,546$11,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,231.65 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Raptors | 29c | 21,495$6,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,233.62 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 28c | 21,086$5,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,947.3 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Nuggets | 70c | 20,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Raptors | 33c | 19,158$6,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,338.05 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors | 28c | 18,310$5,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,189.93 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Raptors | 25c | 17,777$4,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444.24 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6233…6349backed Nuggets | 61c | 16,354$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,354.28 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raptors | 43c | 15,297$6,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,630.05 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Nuggets | 72c | 15,180$10,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,222.36 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 43c | 14,994$6,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,407.05 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Raptors | 36c | 14,848$5,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,416.59 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nuggets | 47c | 14,000$6,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,419.98 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuggets | 66c | 12,950$8,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.28 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…cdb1backed Raptors | 36c | 11,437$4,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,151.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Raptors | 64c | 10,125$6,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,448.55 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Nuggets | 41c | 10,100$4,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,944.23 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Raptors | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Nuggets | 70c | 9,644$6,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,893.2 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Raptors | 27c | 9,600$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610.27 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5b…8e29backed Nuggets | 52c | 9,246$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,395.55 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Raptors | 27c | 8,953$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417.44 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Nuggets | 53c | 8,692$4,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,064.99 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…ead2backed Nuggets | 62c | 8,587$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,286.73 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Raptors | 40c | 8,212$3,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,283.75 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nuggets | 64c | 7,893$5,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.1 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…d068backed Raptors | 36c | 7,613$2,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,724.42 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Nuggets | 70c | 7,543$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.35 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Raptors | 29c | 7,536$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,183.95 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Nuggets | 76c | 7,292$5,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.54 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Raptors | 55c | 7,227$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nuggets | 54c | 6,952$3,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,175.3 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Raptors | 29c | 6,910$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…ca20backed Nuggets | 66c | 6,857$4,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,364.75 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Nuggets | 48c | 6,647$3,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,453.39 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…89a4backed Nuggets | 72c | 6,557$4,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.05 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Nuggets | 64c | 6,500$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.96 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Raptors | 60c | 6,424$3,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,860.15 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Raptors | 28c | 6,372$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.1 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Raptors | 45c | 6,320$2,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,826.67 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1d…55d0backed Nuggets | 40c | 6,281$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,781.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Raptors | 4c | 6,159$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.96 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…0d37backed Nuggets | 72c | 6,080$4,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.83 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd15a…80dbbacked Nuggets | 62c | 6,066$3,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,296.29 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Nuggets | 69c | 5,912$4,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.6 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Raptors | 36c | 5,851$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.76 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Raptors | 0c | 5,840$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Raptors | 2c | 5,743$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Nuggets | 57c | 5,736$3,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.63 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Raptors | 47c | 5,429$2,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550.64 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Nuggets | 75c | 5,097$3,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.14 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -12.5wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed Raptors | 56c | 5,010$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Raptors | 30c | 5,000$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.45 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Raptors | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Raptors | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Raptors | 30c | 4,974$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.43 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Nuggets | 60c | 4,870$2,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.37 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Nuggets | 73c | 4,851$3,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.51 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Raptors | 53c | 4,595$2,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445.52 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Nuggets | 70c | 4,584$3,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.3 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed Raptors | 60c | 4,500$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Raptors | 28c | 4,500$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.97 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Raptors | 40c | 4,478$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.07 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Nuggets | 70c | 4,286$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.71 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Raptors | 35c | 4,185$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.98 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Nuggets | 76c | 4,105$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.24 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…398fbacked Raptors | 29c | 4,088$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.88 | 125 | 24.8%31 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…2294backed Nuggets | 70c | 4,085$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Nuggets | 70c | 4,002$2,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.5 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Raptors | 28c | 3,999$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.81 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Nuggets | 72c | 3,889$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.89 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Nuggets | 44c | 3,858$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.88 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Raptors | 49c | 3,857$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.16 | 263 | 53.6%141 W · 122 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…6bc7backed Nuggets | 73c | 3,836$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.62 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Raptors | 28c | 3,791$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.53 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1efc…1a6bbacked Nuggets | 46c | 3,705$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.81 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Raptors | 28c | 3,600$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…32aabacked Nuggets | 67c | 3,576$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.01 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96dd…17febacked Nuggets | 72c | 3,558$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.33 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Raptors | 28c | 3,531$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.76 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9647…4d48backed Raptors | 50c | 3,382$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Nuggets | 59c | 3,353$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.11 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Nuggets | 72c | 3,278$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.88 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Nuggets | 70c | 3,251$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.37 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Nuggetsthis page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Under won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.