NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0571b0d3f7fed184c3bd80cc5bdb4863095d3566b86969145f4aad32bf20536f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Nuggets, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,030,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,034,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,030,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Raptors | 50c | 584,948$293,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291,321.92 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Nuggets | 50c | 232,848$116,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116,424.13 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets | 50c | 143,986$71,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,434.06 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Nuggets | 50c | 142,172$71,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,086.01 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Nuggets | 49c | 61,907$30,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,334.21 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Raptors | 50c | 60,145$29,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,199.24 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Raptors | 50c | 42,115$21,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,057.5 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Nuggets | 50c | 40,315$20,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,154.59 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Nuggets | 50c | 26,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc540…f7e5backed Nuggets | 51c | 22,133$11,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,288 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 50c | 10,994$5,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,488.35 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Raptors | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.92 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Raptors | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Nuggets | 51c | 6,833$3,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,515.95 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Raptors | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Raptors | 50c | 5,220$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 49c | 5,102$2,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,591.5 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Nuggets | 50c | 4,797$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.6 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Nuggets | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Raptors | 49c | 3,780$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.69 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Nuggets | 50c | 3,355$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.5 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Nuggets | 51c | 3,351$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.54 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 53c | 3,319$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.02 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Nuggets | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Nuggets | 52c | 2,843$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.59 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,832$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.17 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…a74abacked Nuggets | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,005$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.44 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,950$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Raptors | 47c | 1,689$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.66 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Nuggets | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,500$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Nuggets | 28c | 1,440$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.3 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Nuggets | 51c | 1,394$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.86 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,347$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.7 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Raptors | 50c | 1,250$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,235$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.5 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Raptors | 72c | 1,177$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.05 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Raptors | 49c | 1,152$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.42 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc284…9507backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,039$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed Raptors | 50c | 995.36$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.36 | 296 | 46.6%138 W · 158 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Nuggets | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Nuggets | 53c | 958.57$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Nuggets | 51c | 900$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Nuggets | 52c | 889.31$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.44 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Raptors | 48c | 879.44$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.1 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Nuggets | 52c | 825.85$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.22 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Nuggets | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 140 | 59.3%83 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Raptors | 53c | 796.6$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.61 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 51c | 770.49$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.36 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 758$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.67 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Nuggets | 53c | 751.47$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.28 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Nuggets | 53c | 662.36$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.05 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Raptors | 50c | 634$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…1af3backed Nuggets | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Nuggets | 53c | 575$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.75 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Nuggets | 51c | 556.25$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.69 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Raptors | 63c | 500.34$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.34 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked Nuggets | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Nuggets | 51c | 494.69$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.29 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919c…06d8backed Nuggets | 51c | 479.5$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.55 | 198 | 52%103 W · 95 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Nuggets | 56c | 432.19$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Nuggets | 49c | 425$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.13 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Nuggets | 52c | 416$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.32 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Nuggets | 48c | 414.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Nuggets | 50c | 402.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Nuggets | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…74a8backed Nuggets | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets | 48c | 392.24$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.45 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Nuggets | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Nuggets | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Nuggets | 49c | 380.73$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.44 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Raptors | 56c | 375.68$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.14 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…85ddbacked Nuggets | 52c | 367.71$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.74 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Nuggets | 50c | 343.82$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.91 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 49c | 336$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.36 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e09…2d11backed Nuggets | 44c | 333$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…4feebacked Raptors | 56c | 333$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Raptors | 51c | 328.35$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.89 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x190f…01f3backed Nuggets | 50c | 317.77$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.89 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Nuggets | 52c | 309.55$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03a…d7c4backed Raptors | 51c | 303.06$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked Raptors | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Nuggets | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Raptors | 48c | 271.37$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.11 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a37…180cbacked Raptors | 50c | 252.5$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.05 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Nuggets | 41c | 250.61$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.29 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed Nuggets | 53c | 231.23$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.55 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…242dbacked Nuggets | 50c | 227.3$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Nuggets | 51c | 219.18$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.78 | 306 | 54.6%167 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked Nuggets | 47c | 212.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…c05ebacked Nuggets | 55c | 206.82$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.28 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Nuggets | 50c | 205.05$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.53 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Raptors | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Nuggets | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Raptors vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Under won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.