NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd29e0bc31db95202735063064c5d9c9411ddd5da96564a591dcaa67e899d6948
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Nuggets, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $584,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $598,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $584,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Raptors | 55c | 302,001$165,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137,001.34 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Nuggets | 45c | 145,896$65,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,653.32 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Nuggets | 47c | 45,114$21,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,203.52 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…3165backed Raptors | 54c | 31,244$16,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,372.37 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Nuggets | 47c | 24,164$11,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,357.08 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets | 46c | 17,409$8,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,061.81 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Raptors | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,050 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Nuggets | 47c | 13,189$6,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,198.75 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Nuggets | 47c | 12,408$5,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,831.82 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Nuggets | 46c | 11,340$5,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,216.4 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Nuggets | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 46c | 9,468$4,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,359.56 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Raptors | 58c | 8,760$5,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672.96 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 46c | 8,704$4,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,017.83 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Nuggets | 49c | 7,143$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Raptors | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,359.99 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 47c | 6,392$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.57 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe80…0784backed Nuggets | 46c | 6,067$2,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,791 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Nuggets | 47c | 5,945$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794.15 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…3dc0backed Nuggets | 48c | 5,542$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Nuggets | 46c | 5,088$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340.48 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Raptors | 52c | 4,665$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,221.11 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Raptors | 54c | 4,240$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.15 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Nuggets | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Nuggets | 46c | 3,988$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.48 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Nuggets | 47c | 3,982$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.54 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Nuggets | 39c | 3,974$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.7 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Raptors | 52c | 3,810$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.32 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Raptors | 54c | 3,747$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.4 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…eed7backed Nuggets | 48c | 3,696$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.07 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Nuggets | 46c | 3,471$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.48 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Raptors | 52c | 3,162$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.56 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Raptors | 51c | 2,715$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.13 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Nuggets | 46c | 2,656$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.76 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Raptors | 52c | 2,605$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.25 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Nuggets | 47c | 2,326$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.13 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nuggets | 46c | 2,321$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.03 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Raptors | 53c | 2,248$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.56 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Nuggets | 46c | 1,957$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.22 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d01…ee3bbacked Raptors | 52c | 1,942$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe554…fa99backed Raptors | 52c | 1,865$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Raptors | 52c | 1,832$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.36 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…cdc5backed Raptors | 52c | 1,735$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,688$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.38 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd26e…6d8dbacked Raptors | 52c | 1,664$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd48…d64fbacked Nuggets | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.15 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Nuggets | 48c | 1,610$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Raptors | 54c | 1,552$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.49 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Raptors | 63c | 1,521$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.61 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Nuggets | 12c | 1,450$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.95 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Raptors | 78c | 1,308$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.72 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Raptors | 53c | 1,275$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.59 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Raptors | 54c | 1,212$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.66 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Nuggets | 45c | 1,150$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.49 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Nuggets | 18c | 1,098$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.66 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 54c | 1,087$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.89 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,050$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.5 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Raptors | 52c | 1,028$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.21 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Nuggets | 48c | 1,021$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 45c | 1,015$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.75 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Raptors | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets | 41c | 890.02$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.16 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nuggets | 15c | 755.69$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.01 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Nuggets | 47c | 705.32$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.17 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Nuggets | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Nuggets | 46c | 600$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nuggets | 48c | 565.11$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.68 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Nuggets | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Raptors | 61c | 479.34$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.94 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Raptors | 52c | 461.54$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.54 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Nuggets | 46c | 437.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Nuggets | 47c | 420$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.66 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Nuggets | 46c | 413.04$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Nuggets | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Raptors | 52c | 400.4$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.19 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…d4d3backed Raptors | 52c | 390.19$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.29 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Raptors | 53c | 376$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.72 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Nuggets | 46c | 364.81$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.81 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 46c | 362.65$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.82 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…0ee7backed Raptors | 73c | 344.34$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.34 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Raptors | 52c | 341.21$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.72 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Raptors | 53c | 340.6$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.08 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1019…d7cabacked Nuggets | 50c | 338.14$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.07 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Nuggets | 46c | 300$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b55…cde3backed Raptors | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Raptors | 52c | 266$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Nuggets | 46c | 263.09$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.28 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Nuggets | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Raptors | 53c | 238.54$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.13 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a37…180cbacked Raptors | 54c | 227.25$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…3fe7backed Raptors | 55c | 225.12$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.06 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Nuggets | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…6f74backed Raptors | 54c | 214.15$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.39 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Raptors | 53c | 213.28$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.28 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Nuggets | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Raptors | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Raptors | 53c | 208.01$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Raptors | 59c | 207.25$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.23 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Raptors | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Raptors vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Under won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.