MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb3ddd3d96c75a5253d30e9e6992fbab654c866a52baa08d58d0408c9400101c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Royals, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $248,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $265,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Royals | 44c | 124,639$54,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,929 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Blue Jays | 56c | 80,550$45,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,108 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Blue Jays | 59c | 12,991$7,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,719.39 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Blue Jays | 65c | 12,108$7,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,811.89 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Blue Jays | 56c | 11,300$6,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,328 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Blue Jays | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 8,800$4,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,928 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Blue Jays | 43c | 8,238$3,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570.52 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Royals | 43c | 8,150$3,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,645.5 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 8,021$4,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,491.91 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Royals | 40c | 7,576$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,545.32 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 6,562$3,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,740.49 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Royals | 32c | 5,125$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,464.48 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Royals | 43c | 5,111$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,913.26 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 39c | 4,561$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.11 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Blue Jays | 57c | 3,932$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.24 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Blue Jays | 65c | 3,048$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.81 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Royals | 43c | 2,555$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.35 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 2,555$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.35 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 54c | 2,166$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.08 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Blue Jays | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Royals | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.98 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Royals | 43c | 1,851$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.18 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 1,809$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.12 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 1,577$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.97 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Royals | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.57 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Blue Jays | 56c | 1,400$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Royals | 43c | 1,100$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Blue Jays | 15c | 1,094$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.31 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Royals | 41c | 1,063$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.97 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Royals | 42c | 999.98$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed Blue Jays | 64c | 851$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.09 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals | 45c | 823.69$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.9 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Blue Jays | 57c | 799.98$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.99 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Blue Jays | 65c | 758.99$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.11 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Royals | 42c | 710.53$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.11 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays | 8c | 685.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Royals | 69c | 535.86$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.22 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…a854backed Blue Jays | 58c | 506.13$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Royals | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Royals | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Royals | 36c | 499.99$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Royals | 67c | 405.13$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.68 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…39aabacked Blue Jays | 74c | 400$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Royals | 42c | 383.44$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.44 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Blue Jays | 59c | 369.13$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.44 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Royals | 42c | 360$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.8 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Blue Jays | 57c | 350.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Royals | 42c | 350$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Royals | 42c | 349.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 349.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 342$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.94 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 333.93$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.51 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Blue Jays | 30c | 329.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Royals | 36c | 329$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.03 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Royals | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked Royals | 26c | 296.15$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Royals | 43c | 288.51$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.45 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Royals | 43c | 279.07$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.07 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Royals | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 267.61$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.54 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Royals | 42c | 259$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.22 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Royals | 43c | 258.97$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.61 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Royals | 56c | 256.76$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.2 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Blue Jays | 7c | 247.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Royals | 46c | 245.78$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.78 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked Blue Jays | 57c | 243.25$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Royals | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Royals | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Royals | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Blue Jays | 58c | 224$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.92 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe940…b56abacked Blue Jays | 6c | 217.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Blue Jays | 60c | 209$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.11 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Blue Jays | 57c | 203.55$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.23 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Royals | 38c | 200$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed Royals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Royals | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Royals | 43c | 187$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.59 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…7d40backed Blue Jays | 58c | 181.95$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.53 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Blue Jays | 58c | 181.03$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Blue Jays | 60c | 178.85$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.61 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Blue Jays | 60c | 178.85$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.61 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Royals | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.79 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Royals | 43c | 162.77$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.78 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Royals | 76c | 152.24$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Royals | 43c | 150.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Royals | 43c | 140$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Blue Jays | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Blue Jays | 64c | 130.14$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.82 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Blue Jays | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…7554backed Blue Jays | 60c | 117.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.26 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…8a88backed Royals | 40c | 116.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.2 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d0…cb51backed Blue Jays | 72c | 111.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…571fbacked Blue Jays | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Blue Jays | 46c | 109.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Royals | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Blue Jays | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.