TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rangers vs. Blue Jays

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Rangers, Blue Jays
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$445,983
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$463,408

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $445,983 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 570 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Blue Jays18c288,713$51,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,717.541,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Rangers78c34,752$27,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,638.8338751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Rangers76c29,131$22,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,004.0554345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe785…e106backed Blue Jays53c21,277$11,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,276.594854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Rangers47c13,561$6,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,179.6745248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Rangers47c11,030$5,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,845.5330255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rangers72c10,047$7,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,832.0343949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x991a…2411backed Rangers70c7,232$5,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,180.54459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rangers47c6,347$2,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,356.11,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Blue Jays54c6,027$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,25036047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers47c4,631$2,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,445.122,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Rangers57c4,309$2,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.3638444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Blue Jays40c4,059$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.7533845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Rangers46c3,440$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,840.591,92253.4%1,027 W · 895 L+28.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers69c3,023$2,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.919,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Blue Jays53c3,006$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,593.1826355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rangers46c2,874$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,551.731,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcab0…4cd3backed Blue Jays45c2,429$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.599447.9%45 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x283d…0dadbacked Blue Jays53c2,264$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bbd…606cbacked Rangers47c2,148$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.849237%34 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Rangers51c2,001$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.5230842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed32…20d6backed Blue Jays45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.956538.5%25 W · 40 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Rangers47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Blue Jays1c1,962$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.71283.6%1 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick12cpaid-91.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Rangers47c1,892$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.0211947.9%57 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rangers56c1,747$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.684,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Blue Jays53c1,538$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.2824253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays52c1,423$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.0899149.9%495 W · 496 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Rangers6c1,327$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.838762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Blue Jays5c1,324$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays26c1,274$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.952,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Rangers78c1,250$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.538741.1%159 W · 228 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Blue Jays51c1,183$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60022546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Rangers48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6728042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5301,01251.2%518 W · 494 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Rangers47c999.96$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.981,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Rangers47c990.07$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.7438949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Blue Jays52c896.37$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.118052.5%42 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Rangers49c887.99$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.889947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40ab…fbb5backed Rangers48c842.98$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.3516654.8%91 W · 75 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Blue Jays18c818$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7647745.7%218 W · 259 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Rangers48c799.83$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.241,29347.3%611 W · 682 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Blue Jays53c769.25$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.716647.6%79 W · 87 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Blue Jays53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40066645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Blue Jays54c734.46$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40034550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb653…85a4backed Rangers47c714.49$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.6814148.2%68 W · 73 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Blue Jays27c685.19$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1851,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays53c658.15$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.91,21540.5%492 W · 723 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Blue Jays54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32442452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05c0…823bbacked Blue Jays52c586.6$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Blue Jays52c575.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.511,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Rangers47c550$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.511553%61 W · 54 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Rangers48c504.17$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.1770946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc62f…f330backed Blue Jays51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25514649.3%72 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Rangers49c499.99$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25530850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63d8…b86abacked Rangers50c463.81$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.81966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Rangers48c458.78$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.5751347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Rangers47c444$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.321,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b7…7a44backed Blue Jays53c444$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Blue Jays52c414.67$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.9734051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e3…3464backed Rangers50c404.77$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.044847.9%23 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Blue Jays52c400$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20621656%121 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc6…f0f8backed Rangers50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20011051.8%57 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Rangers47c399.98$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.9983248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Blue Jays53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20063052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9688…b82fbacked Blue Jays40c372.3$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.92425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x933f…d2bcbacked Blue Jays53c350.49$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.421050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Rangers47c350$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.51,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Blue Jays53c338.11$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.228053.9%151 W · 129 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4891…0165backed Blue Jays32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003745.9%17 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Blue Jays43c300$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13018249.5%90 W · 92 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67fd…2b74backed Blue Jays50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016651.8%86 W · 80 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Blue Jays24c287.04$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7057545.9%264 W · 311 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92ed…82c6backed Blue Jays13c279.98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.410441.3%43 W · 61 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Rangers47c266.2$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.611,05550.3%531 W · 524 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe966…b5d1backed Rangers50c260$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe310…5028backed Blue Jays51c254.9$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Blue Jays53c247.3$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0723248.3%112 W · 120 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Rangers47c214$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.4238047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Rangers47c214$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.4240548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Blue Jays52c212.22$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.385047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Rangers47c212$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.361,40848.8%687 W · 721 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x108d…508abacked Rangers48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.334443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe299…9945backed Rangers49c203.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.942744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-16.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fea…d383backed Rangers41c200$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b5a…d1bbbacked Rangers47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1065250%26 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e9…4ef4backed Rangers47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1065056%28 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec14…afbbbacked Rangers47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1068051.3%41 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2019…a6a9backed Rangers47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1067653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7752…490bbacked Blue Jays53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1065349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3236…8f9ebacked Rangers47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1067757.1%44 W · 33 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fd6…966cbacked Rangers47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1067346.6%34 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea7…b555backed Blue Jays53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1065257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb033…88e6backed Blue Jays53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1065253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c61…a273backed Rangers47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1067546.7%35 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e48…c9cabacked Blue Jays53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1065339.6%21 W · 32 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbbf…f78fbacked Blue Jays53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1065139.2%20 W · 31 L-6.6wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-25.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6caa…d782backed Blue Jays53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1065145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea21…9033backed Rangers47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1065250%26 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bfa…2fa8backed Blue Jays53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1065347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.