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NFL · resolved market

Stefon Diggs: Anytime Touchdown

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,080
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,040

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,080 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No71c15,000$10,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,299.9583147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes29c12,822$3,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,694.93033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6de5…3d0fbacked Yes0c7,917$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8860%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No71c3,048$2,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.721931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab85…81e6backed No73c1,327$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.231877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+23.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3920…deb6backed Yes28c1,250$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c0f…f4e1backed No71c822.38$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.491070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes29c766$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.143625%9 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-54.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x61b4…c559backed Yes21c759.77$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-74.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc186…ad81backed Yes28c641.12$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2be…0dd3backed Yes28c528.03$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.51127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bc8…cb0dbacked Yes29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x729e…1a7abacked Yes29c381.77$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+61.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf326…52f9backed Yes27c370$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.92740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No70c359.79$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10827644.2%122 W · 154 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c74…e9b7backed Yes14c358.51$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.45933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-39.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011740.2%47 W · 70 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x42e7…b90cbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+253.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9796…b8e3backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+50.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No65c351.98$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.5510346.6%48 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd280…8533backed Yes29c351.66$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.98120%0 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84e0…439abacked Yes29c345.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0203…270dbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x208c…b132backed Yes30c332.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Yes25c327.94$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9926650.8%135 W · 131 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfba…9398backed No72c304.3$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+71.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No72c299.99$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849855.1%54 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No72c278.29$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.221154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc10…3eedbacked Yes37c234$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No73c231.43$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.41050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes27c216.67$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.559453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes27c201$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1220757.5%119 W · 88 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3193…1b3bbacked Yes28c195$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes27c190$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.355345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bfa…bc94backed Yes28c185.77$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-50.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72b2…52b3backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507739%30 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab72…b70dbacked Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502532%8 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b44…ccfabacked Yes28c174.07$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4911454.4%62 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5d9…00ecbacked Yes29c164.21$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.62714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc62b…625dbacked Yes31c161.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed No72c160.1$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.593658.3%21 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d75…d730backed Yes28c158.54$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No73c137.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.02785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick61cpaid+38.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9038…f74cbacked Yes29c128.62$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376139.3%24 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+15.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No69c122.58$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3877052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5110…ef43backed Yes28c117.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52e4…1a80backed Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick27cpaid-11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0047…1655backed Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3080%0 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No72c107.14$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67f3…d3e7backed Yes30c105$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaded…6fa0backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0138…8451backed Yes30c94.52$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.46521.5%14 W · 51 L-9.5wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-57.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Yes31c90.32$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b86…3437backed Yes28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-79.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6ea…0a95backed Yes28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0196…b9c3backed Yes29c86.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes18c78.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4810731.8%34 W · 73 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e6f…5e4fbacked Yes29c77.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.37666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97b7…ece2backed Yes28c75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3299…c118backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ba8…c2cabacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…4968backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-64.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x00e4…de49backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dba…5531backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Yes36c69.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd18…a458backed Yes29c69.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8771…9ed0backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8b9…8ea2backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7be6…436ebacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202638.5%10 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d46…bd57backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Yes22c67.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.533826.3%10 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-35.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd2b…4090backed Yes31c64.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4ce…cdd2backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1a…bf0abacked Yes28c64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.923231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3891…baa4backed Yes32c62.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06d0…059abacked Yes26c61.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.093262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x927f…c44fbacked Yes33c60.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No70c60$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1834247.4%162 W · 180 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeae…6412backed Yes29c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…ca8dbacked Yes34c58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Yes31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.537556.3%211 W · 164 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No72c49.09$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7423850.8%121 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac13…e0f1backed Yes27c48.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc37e…5e63backed Yes33c45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No62c42.11$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5fa…3d88backed No75c33.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+85%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed No73c30.76$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.22236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-36.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf7fe…1e42backed No72c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.845479.6%43 W · 11 L+8.1wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+26%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked No74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.974553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x867f…2bbbbacked Yes64c26.56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e0…ad29backed No73c19.18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.185100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+41.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No70c16.13$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.846251.6%32 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa597…7e14backed No77c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-56.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed No79c14.92$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.073467.6%23 W · 11 L+8.2wins+0.24per pick44cpaid+60.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.