MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5d830af530212ffe225180d650ba1069a8d6e69d485a46582b5532d0bf5bcff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Royals, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $233,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $235,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 521 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Royals | 23c | 25,227$5,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,801.81 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays | 77c | 23,350$17,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,356.85 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Royals | 35c | 21,382$7,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,436.85 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Royals | 28c | 13,514$3,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,752.14 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Royals | 44c | 11,969$5,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,266.49 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Blue Jays | 56c | 11,389$6,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,011.29 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed Blue Jays | 72c | 11,271$8,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,123.33 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Royals | 49c | 8,190$4,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,010.42 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 65c | 7,215$4,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.14 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 70c | 6,794$4,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.41 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Royals | 21c | 5,999$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.09 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Royals | 48c | 5,727$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,755.19 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…af51backed Royals | 42c | 5,240$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Royals | 43c | 5,055$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.65 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Royals | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc8…d62fbacked Royals | 42c | 4,761$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Blue Jays | 57c | 4,543$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.61 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 4,360$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.56 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Blue Jays | 57c | 4,102$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.86 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Blue Jays | 55c | 3,942$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.88 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…5e09backed Blue Jays | 58c | 3,449$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +224.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x790a…cb76backed Blue Jays | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Royals | 44c | 3,217$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.65 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0062…6cf7backed Blue Jays | 58c | 3,104$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +125.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Royals | 44c | 2,981$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.59 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Blue Jays | 69c | 2,712$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.07 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Royals | 44c | 2,249$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Blue Jays | 55c | 2,100$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.5 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…342cbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Royals | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.99 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Blue Jays | 58c | 1,705$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.55 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Blue Jays | 69c | 1,502$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.61 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 1,478$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.84 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Royals | 44c | 1,232$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.89 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…50e2backed Royals | 51c | 1,148$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Blue Jays | 78c | 1,028$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.16 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Royals | 29c | 860.42$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.35 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Blue Jays | 70c | 712.86$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.86 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Blue Jays | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Royals | 43c | 699.98$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.99 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 664.05$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.54 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Blue Jays | 52c | 644.15$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.49 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Royals | 13c | 599.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 580$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.2 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 542.5$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.75 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Blue Jays | 80c | 534.69$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.94 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Royals | 48c | 518.19$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Royals | 43c | 502$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.86 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Royals | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Blue Jays | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Blue Jays | 56c | 499.96$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.98 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Royals | 8c | 485.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Blue Jays | 58c | 480$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Blue Jays | 54c | 477.71$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.34 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Royals | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Blue Jays | 57c | 466.99$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.81 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Royals | 40c | 455.67$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.27 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 446.63$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.98 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Royals | 44c | 446.03$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.49 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Royals | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Royals | 44c | 397.73$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Blue Jays | 77c | 397.44$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Royals | 4c | 352.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Blue Jays | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Royals | 43c | 350$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Royals | 41c | 349.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Royals | 43c | 348.07$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.67 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 340$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.8 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Blue Jays | 64c | 317.19$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.83 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 307.02$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.02 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Royals | 40c | 303.42$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.37 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Royals | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 300$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Royals | 8c | 295$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Blue Jays | 62c | 292.52$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.86 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Royals | 35c | 281.84$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…8a88backed Royals | 20c | 281.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Royals | 42c | 280.98$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.66 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Blue Jays | 56c | 276.11$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.6 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Royals | 44c | 272.73$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Blue Jays | 79c | 271$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Royals | 45c | 254.89$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.42 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Royals | 44c | 238.38$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Blue Jays | 58c | 238$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Royals | 8c | 236$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Blue Jays | 57c | 228.07$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.07 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Royals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Royals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Royals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Royals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…f5d2backed Royals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…8d34backed Blue Jays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a5…6751backed Blue Jays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…afb5backed Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…5b02backed Blue Jays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…4c34backed Blue Jays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec0…8ee3backed Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…9969backed Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…d95cbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.