NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfc51d719de1893acc56b834fcf7621c9452638eadee0e103eed18b8a876e6ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Senators, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $282,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $296,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 352 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1ff…e56abacked Senators | 48c | 44,181$21,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,206.71 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Senators | 46c | 40,614$18,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,565.13 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wild | 52c | 22,835$11,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,909.75 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Senators | 4c | 17,489$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.66 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wild | 52c | 15,452$8,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,349.6 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Wild | 52c | 14,630$7,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,022.4 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Senators | 47c | 13,208$6,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,223.32 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wild | 71c | 10,120$7,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,979.56 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Senators | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ac…0a7abacked Wild | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Wild | 52c | 9,500$4,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,560 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Senators | 49c | 8,802$4,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,274.77 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Wild | 72c | 7,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wild | 56c | 6,794$3,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,978.2 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wild | 54c | 6,025$3,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.54 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Senators | 15c | 5,932$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.31 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1538…fdefbacked Wild | 52c | 5,133$2,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb031…eb05backed Senators | 48c | 5,114$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,454.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Senators | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.96 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…b804backed Senators | 48c | 4,883$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97c…ef86backed Wild | 52c | 4,863$2,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Wild | 50c | 4,692$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Wild | 53c | 3,622$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.34 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Wild | 53c | 3,333$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.51 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Wild | 51c | 3,300$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Senators | 46c | 3,177$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.95 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Wild | 52c | 3,081$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.35 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Senators | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Senators | 48c | 2,956$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.88 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Senators | 47c | 2,604$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.1 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Wild | 52c | 2,527$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.96 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wild | 51c | 2,375$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.26 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Senators | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Wild | 52c | 2,175$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.16 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Senators | 48c | 2,025$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.95 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Senators | 49c | 2,024$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.76 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…4fdcbacked Wild | 52c | 2,020$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Senators | 48c | 2,000$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.67 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Senators | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…ce2fbacked Senators | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Wild | 54c | 1,963$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.77 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…5019backed Wild | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Wild | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Senators | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.16 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Wild | 51c | 1,631$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.25 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Wild | 53c | 1,568$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.96 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Senators | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Senators | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.99 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Wild | 52c | 1,497$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.56 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Wild | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.09 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Senators | 15c | 1,373$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.19 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Wild | 62c | 1,361$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.11 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18b…05eabacked Wild | 69c | 1,276$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Senators | 31c | 1,256$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.07 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Wild | 54c | 1,250$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Wild | 67c | 1,196$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.78 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6d…1ba1backed Wild | 54c | 1,180$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Wild | 57c | 1,147$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.54 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed Senators | 7c | 1,077$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.53 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Senators | 23c | 1,073$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.04 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Wild | 52c | 1,050$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0424…95ddbacked Wild | 53c | 1,042$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.52 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +165.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Senators | 49c | 1,027$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Wild | 50c | 1,000$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.16 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Wild | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Wild | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5143…bee0backed Wild | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18cb…5dfcbacked Wild | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb654…16e2backed Senators | 49c | 948.98$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…b3d7backed Wild | 78c | 897.11$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd30…aa73backed Senators | 48c | 869.63$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bb…7380backed Senators | 48c | 867.14$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…0f54backed Wild | 66c | 859.08$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.95 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Wild | 53c | 850$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.72 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Wild | 56c | 816.71$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.76 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…6124backed Wild | 51c | 794.22$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd460…cd20backed Senators | 48c | 774.99$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5e…1c9ebacked Senators | 48c | 763.58$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Senators | 47c | 750$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Wild | 51c | 748.99$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.01 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…79f8backed Wild | 51c | 743.5$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…082abacked Wild | 50c | 719.92$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.96 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Wild | 71c | 699.91$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.89 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked Senators | 48c | 661$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Wild | 52c | 640$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.2 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Wild | 52c | 625$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Wild | 54c | 599.98$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.99 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Wild | 45c | 563.59$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.49 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Senators | 47c | 553.83$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.3 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Senators | 29c | 551$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.79 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…dd30backed Senators | 46c | 542.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.05 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Wild | 53c | 530$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.1 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Wild | 51c | 527.86$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.35 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…1ed3backed Wild | 50c | 517.93$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.97 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wild | 75c | 511.3$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.35 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Senators | 20c | 501.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Wild | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Senators | 5c | 499.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Wild | 52c | 479.23$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.03 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wild | 77c | 467$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.52 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Wildthis page
- Senators vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Under won
- Senators vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Wild won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.