NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45dd9141c6e88ba21397e1ffd41b0acd599a5988c11548e4ff3294322b84be2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $807,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $811,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $807,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 47c | 377,778$177,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200,000.12 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 52c | 366,331$190,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190,830.25 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 54c | 199,985$107,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107,991.86 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 48c | 121,719$58,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,585.81 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 48c | 104,999$50,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,749.7 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Under | 54c | 30,434$16,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,108.15 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 47c | 22,201$10,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,811.67 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 18,725$8,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,090.92 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 16,680$8,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,368.95 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38d…18cebacked Over | 56c | 15,520$8,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,700.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 52c | 15,030$7,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,216.1 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Under | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,950 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Under | 51c | 14,128$7,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,944.73 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Over | 47c | 13,400$6,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,298 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 12,962$5,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,057.09 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Under | 53c | 9,497$5,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,468 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e65…4994backed Under | 51c | 8,658$4,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,202.84 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Under | 44c | 6,549$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,667.44 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf927…2663backed Over | 56c | 6,011$3,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,377.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 49c | 5,997$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938.4 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Over | 53c | 5,291$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.55 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 4,847$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.77 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 54c | 4,548$2,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455.9 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Under | 45c | 4,297$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.23 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 51c | 4,272$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.09 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 54c | 4,079$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.81 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 45c | 3,630$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.24 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 49c | 3,480$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.2 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 50c | 3,420$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.82 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 51c | 3,405$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.62 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 46c | 3,400$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.89 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 49c | 3,241$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.27 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 52c | 3,092$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.09 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Under | 55c | 3,076$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.9 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under | 46c | 3,028$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.05 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d39…c732backed Under | 50c | 3,015$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 44c | 2,841$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.91 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 2,478$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.83 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43bf…425abacked Over | 55c | 2,253$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 51c | 2,249$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.74 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Under | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…b225backed Under | 53c | 1,999$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +53%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 54c | 1,996$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.98 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 1,935$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.58 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 1,838$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.3 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 49c | 1,827$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.5 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 45c | 1,588$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.38 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe15b…bff1backed Under | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 52c | 1,155$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 1,044$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.66 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 49c | 1,012$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.92 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Over | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 50c | 995.85$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.39 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 50c | 995.35$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 47c | 954.98$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.14 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Under | 52c | 948$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.1 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Over | 53c | 947.63$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…0095backed Over | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 50c | 900.5$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.5 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 53c | 835$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.19 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 43c | 749.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 675.77$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.41 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 75c | 665.8$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.8 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 50c | 654.32$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.16 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Over | 48c | 626.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.5 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Over | 49c | 615.25$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.12 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Over | 48c | 612.62$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.49 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 35c | 602.73$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.95 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 48c | 600.35$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.17 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 54c | 599.89$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.94 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 50c | 583.59$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.8 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 44c | 574$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.44 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Under | 46c | 561.07$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.98 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 49c | 520.84$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.38 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 52c | 505.95$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.49 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Over | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 55c | 480.89$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.49 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 46c | 430.65$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.55 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Over | 55c | 421.28$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 331 | 54.1%179 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 37c | 420.87$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.37 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Over | 55c | 408.69$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 321 | 55.5%178 W · 143 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Under | 45c | 404.44$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.44 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 53c | 400.19$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.54 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Over | 50c | 384.62$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.31 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 56c | 378.77$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.95 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 53c | 377.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Under | 49c | 377.55$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.55 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Under | 54c | 355.13$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.51 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 50c | 350$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.39 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 55c | 340$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.2 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Over | 49c | 328.98$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.38 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Devils vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5this page
- Devils vs. CanadiensDevils won
- Devils vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5Under won
- Devils vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Under won
- Devils vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.