NHL · resolved market
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdd9efccec1cd61a8a0ccd0cfd6f40b8dc0fa4c12ee7c925c519845d64730a1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Devilsof Canadiens, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Devils | 63c | 1,607$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.45 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 36c | 1,114$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.97 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Canadiens | 37c | 962.2$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.01 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 37c | 769.76$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.81 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Devils | 64c | 610.52$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.79 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Devils | 63c | 502.7$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…8961backed Canadiens | 25c | 485.84$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…39c7backed Canadiens | 37c | 298.28$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.36 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Canadiens | 24c | 293.71$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.13 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Canadiens | 26c | 288.62$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Devils | 63c | 262.22$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Canadiens | 36c | 250.75$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.27 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Devils | 63c | 244.19$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.35 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e59…aec8backed Canadiens | 37c | 197.64$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Devils | 68c | 196.47$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.03 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Devils | 64c | 183.45$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Devils | 78c | 173.75$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Devils | 78c | 149.16$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Devils | 63c | 143.92$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a7…aefcbacked Canadiens | 37c | 143.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Devils | 64c | 133.06$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c1…e199backed Canadiens | 37c | 105.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed Canadiens | 37c | 96.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Devils | 64c | 90.01$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Devils | 63c | 82.1$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Devils | 78c | 78.95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Devils | 64c | 77.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Devils | 64c | 58.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Devils | 64c | 55.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Devils | 64c | 53.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Devils | 80c | 49.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Canadiens | 35c | 47.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Devils | 64c | 35.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Devils | 64c | 32.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Devils | 64c | 30.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Devils | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Devils | 63c | 26.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Devils | 79c | 24.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Devils | 64c | 23.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)this page
- Devils vs. CanadiensDevils won
- Devils vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5Under won
- Devils vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Under won
- Devils vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Under won
- Devils vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.