Golf · resolved market

Will Patrick Reed finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78cd041a040749c225365136615a4d3d362c8baccfad52042f59d2d24099b855

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $10,663
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $10,853

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,663 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc33a…3da3backed Yes	15c	6,327$949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$949	25	16%4 W · 21 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5abb…05a3backed Yes	26c	2,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No	70c	1,863$1,301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$562.44	225	46.7%105 W · 120 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No	61c	581.71$352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.47	268	39.9%107 W · 161 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b2…3caabacked Yes	45c	253.94$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.31	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.8wins	-0.36per pick	48cpaid	-80.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7399…6ab8backed Yes	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No	51c	169.59$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.1	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x65d9…8608backed Yes	11c	94.66$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.41	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes	25c	68.94$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.31	55	16.4%9 W · 46 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-56%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes	59c	49.6$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.26	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.14per pick	29cpaid	-74.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9a0…c52bbacked Yes	49c	39.57$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.39	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+100.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	62c	30$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.4	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca39…4af4backed Yes	38c	28.88$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.98	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Patrick Reed finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event