NBA · resolved market
Spread: Heat (-18.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a45398125722b3ea94c9cb8406c4c2ba07ae41e7f6e08d89a6df28111bfaaa8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Heat, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $683,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $685,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $683,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Heat | 50c | 472,912$236,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236,360.67 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Wizards | 50c | 159,999$80,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,999.5 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards | 50c | 143,424$71,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,461.15 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 50c | 102,890$51,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,998.53 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Heat | 49c | 43,383$21,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,257.91 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wizards | 48c | 22,932$10,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,951.11 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Wizards | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,999.77 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Wizards | 50c | 19,400$9,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,700 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards | 51c | 15,742$8,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,735.43 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…3096backed Wizards | 50c | 13,629$6,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,791.25 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf166…9cf5backed Wizards | 50c | 11,729$5,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,826.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Wizards | 51c | 8,613$4,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,229.75 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards | 50c | 7,995$3,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,997.41 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…a2b8backed Heat | 7c | 7,159$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.89 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Wizards | 50c | 6,839$3,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,410.55 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Heat | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Wizards | 50c | 5,605$2,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,776.95 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Heat | 48c | 5,375$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.98 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Wizards | 50c | 5,270$2,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.85 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Wizards | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Wizards | 45c | 4,461$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.13 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Heat | 49c | 4,280$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107.28 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Wizards | 45c | 4,255$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320.9 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Wizards | 50c | 4,058$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.18 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wizards | 38c | 3,301$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.59 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Wizards | 43c | 3,268$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.09 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1a…e54ebacked Wizards | 34c | 3,143$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.83 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Heat | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Wizards | 51c | 2,912$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.78 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Wizards | 50c | 2,483$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.68 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Heat | 1c | 2,481$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 110 | 33.6%37 W · 73 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2913…d241backed Heat | 51c | 2,005$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.03 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Heat | 50c | 1,988$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…4388backed Heat | 71c | 1,981$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.31 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Wizards | 51c | 1,941$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.19 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Heat | 68c | 1,731$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.44 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Wizards | 52c | 1,645$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.26 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wizards | 50c | 1,428$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.88 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Wizards | 51c | 1,422$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.75 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Wizards | 51c | 1,383$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.35 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Heat | 47c | 1,289$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.37 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Wizards | 51c | 1,238$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.38 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Heat | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Wizards | 50c | 969.98$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.99 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Wizards | 50c | 968.16$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.13 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Heat | 50c | 964.74$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.09 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Wizards | 36c | 955.01$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.21 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Wizards | 50c | 921.13$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.57 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Heat | 48c | 829.94$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.37 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wizards | 51c | 792.3$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.95 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Wizards | 50c | 769.54$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.44 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed Wizards | 53c | 733.43$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.71 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x141d…7ea0backed Heat | 50c | 682.8$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.4 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Heat | 49c | 637.21$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.32 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Wizards | 50c | 628.56$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.28 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Wizards | 49c | 615.71$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.81 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Heat | 50c | 593.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.57 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Wizards | 52c | 592.81$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.11 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef8f…fa57backed Heat | 50c | 582$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…bad3backed Wizards | 15c | 573.45$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.81 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Wizards | 51c | 535.81$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.84 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Wizards | 49c | 505.61$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.86 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…cad0backed Heat | 58c | 504.21$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Wizards | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Wizards | 51c | 487.24$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.75 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43bf…425abacked Heat | 50c | 483.43$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.53 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Wizards | 52c | 465.97$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.67 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Heat | 50c | 440.44$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.87 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Heat | 51c | 428.43$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.41 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Heat | 58c | 407.45$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.13 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…9d86backed Wizards | 51c | 405.64$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Wizards | 51c | 395.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.79 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Heat | 49c | 394$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Wizards | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Heat | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Wizards | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Wizards | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…0d9fbacked Heat | 51c | 382.47$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.09 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76d…6a8ebacked Wizards | 51c | 347.13$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.02 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Heat | 50c | 345.32$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.66 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Heat | 51c | 306.17$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.69 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Wizards | 22c | 300$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Wizards | 50c | 299.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.66 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Wizards | 49c | 286.24$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.02 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Wizards | 50c | 278$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.94 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Wizards | 51c | 271.77$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.17 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Heat | 51c | 271.14$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.78 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…21f2backed Wizards | 58c | 253.87$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Heat | 49c | 243.45$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.29 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Wizards | 52c | 241.01$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.69 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Wizards | 50c | 236.2$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.1 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Heat | 50c | 219.11$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Heat | 49c | 211$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Wizards | 37c | 209.66$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 271 | 38.7%105 W · 166 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Heat | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x190f…01f3backed Heat | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Wizards | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea3…a8aebacked Heat | 49c | 195.74$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Wizards | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Heat | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Heat (-18.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-10.5)Heat won
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Pelle Larsson: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Pelle Larsson: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Heat (-14.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-15.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-16.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Heat (-17.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Heat (-19.5)Wizards won
- Tre Johnson: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Will Riley: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Wizards vs. HeatHeat won
- Wizards vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Wizards vs. Heat: 1H O/U 127.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 245.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 246.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 248.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 249.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 250.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 265.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.