NBA · resolved market
Spread: Heat (-16.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x171b30b8d5ab80f73a4506ac473062bcffb02f2951042939d51189a99ddfba80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Heat, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Wizards | 42c | 57,601$24,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,408.49 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Heat | 58c | 56,125$32,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,552.47 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Heat | 56c | 17,179$9,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,620.18 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 44c | 9,715$4,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,452.21 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Heat | 58c | 4,816$2,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,783.4 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Wizards | 55c | 4,771$2,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.07 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wizards | 11c | 4,629$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,107.39 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards | 43c | 2,763$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.39 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 43c | 2,420$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.28 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Wizards | 44c | 2,379$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.22 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Heat | 57c | 2,136$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.75 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Wizards | 44c | 1,966$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.87 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Wizards | 46c | 1,809$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.29 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…41c7backed Heat | 57c | 1,709$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.2 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Heat | 75c | 1,336$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.32 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Wizards | 44c | 1,275$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.27 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Wizards | 43c | 1,056$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.7 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Wizards | 44c | 826.57$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.58 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Heat | 58c | 817.2$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.98 | 574 | 44.1%253 W · 321 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Wizards | 43c | 781$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.17 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Wizards | 46c | 762.71$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.96 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Wizards | 42c | 751.38$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.29 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x031a…50b7backed Heat | 57c | 693.96$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.55 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Wizards | 42c | 581.92$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.52 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…ebf6backed Heat | 57c | 512.74$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.26 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Heat | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards | 44c | 494.8$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.09 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Wizards | 44c | 469.67$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.02 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Wizards | 49c | 451.57$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.3 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Wizards | 43c | 449.21$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.05 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Wizards | 43c | 449.21$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.05 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Wizards | 44c | 439.61$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.34 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Wizards | 47c | 426$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.78 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Wizards | 43c | 393.14$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.14 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Wizards | 48c | 392.92$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.71 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0999…016ebacked Heat | 58c | 368.01$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.28 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a89…76ecbacked Heat | 56c | 347.83$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.72 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x431c…12ecbacked Heat | 57c | 341.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.84 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Heat | 58c | 336.13$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.96 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Heat | 56c | 322.83$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.89 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Heat | 56c | 322.83$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.89 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Heat | 57c | 319.57$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.16 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d36…8f64backed Heat | 58c | 270.73$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.98 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Heat | 56c | 268.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.95 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Heat | 56c | 267.79$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.96 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Wizards | 43c | 258.77$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Wizards | 43c | 250.73$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.82 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Wizards | 43c | 245.2$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.81 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heat | 52c | 235.1$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.28 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Heat | 52c | 234.95$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.37 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Wizards | 43c | 228.35$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.86 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Wizards | 43c | 228$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.96 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Wizards | 43c | 222.12$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.51 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Wizards | 47c | 220$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards | 44c | 199.71$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.84 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 47c | 194.54$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.72 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9e…f670backed Heat | 54c | 194.48$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.02 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Heat | 55c | 185.93$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.86 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe73d…cbf8backed Heat | 56c | 182.55$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.23 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Heat | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Heat | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…dfadbacked Heat | 56c | 173.29$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.37 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…abe0backed Heat | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Wizards | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Heat | 55c | 140.88$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Wizards | 44c | 128.7$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.29 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Heat | 58c | 118.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.22 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Heat | 54c | 118.29$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.88 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2685…bb3abacked Heat | 56c | 114.75$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Wizards | 22c | 105.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.7 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Wizards | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.31 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Wizards | 43c | 98.51$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Heat | 57c | 97.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Wizards | 43c | 88.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Heat | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 185 | 52.4%97 W · 88 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Heat | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54df…51fabacked Heat | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…a40bbacked Heat | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Wizards | 47c | 81.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b6…f8e2backed Heat | 57c | 79.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x015d…7bc7backed Wizards | 47c | 63.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Heat | 57c | 60.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d75…a24abacked Heat | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe506…1bccbacked Heat | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1a…39a6backed Heat | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Wizards | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Wizards | 43c | 48.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…34e7backed Heat | 56c | 47.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed Wizards | 44c | 45.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Heat | 52c | 45.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed Heat | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Heat | 57c | 43.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Heat | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe847…b7e2backed Heat | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76d…6a8ebacked Heat | 57c | 42.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Wizards | 43c | 35.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 202 | 40.1%81 W · 121 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…2092backed Heat | 56c | 34.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Heat | 56c | 34.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -17.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Heat | 57c | 30.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f7…f5dcbacked Wizards | 46c | 30.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Heat (-16.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-10.5)Heat won
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Pelle Larsson: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Pelle Larsson: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Heat (-14.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-15.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-17.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Heat (-18.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Heat (-19.5)Wizards won
- Tre Johnson: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Will Riley: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Wizards vs. HeatHeat won
- Wizards vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Wizards vs. Heat: 1H O/U 127.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 245.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 246.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 248.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 249.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 250.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 265.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.