NBA · resolved market
Spread: Heat (-17.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe814d74d1864dde3f7df42fec6417e98ce5c973530f62faead702e581a27ba48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Heat, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $335,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $346,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $335,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Heat | 52c | 72,674$37,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,789.67 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Heat | 52c | 60,000$31,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,199.9 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wizards | 48c | 39,788$19,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,690.16 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Wizards | 10c | 36,998$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,297.94 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wizards | 37c | 27,522$10,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,263.9 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 48c | 20,370$9,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,635.07 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Wizards | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.98 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Heat | 53c | 9,986$5,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,292.76 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Wizards | 50c | 9,385$4,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,692.55 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Heat | 53c | 8,083$4,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,283.75 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Heat | 52c | 5,941$3,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,089.18 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Wizards | 50c | 5,770$2,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,858.91 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards | 48c | 5,279$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756.4 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Wizards | 48c | 5,048$2,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,643.65 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Wizards | 47c | 4,425$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.34 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Heat | 52c | 4,302$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.26 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Wizards | 31c | 3,924$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.19 | 110 | 33.6%37 W · 73 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Wizards | 48c | 3,135$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.97 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wizards | 48c | 3,002$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.92 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Wizards | 48c | 2,462$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.34 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Heat | 51c | 2,457$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.27 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Wizards | 47c | 2,187$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.14 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…b1c5backed Heat | 52c | 2,137$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.05 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Wizards | 47c | 2,130$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.88 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Wizards | 16c | 2,091$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.49 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Wizards | 47c | 2,007$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.15 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Wizards | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Wizards | 48c | 1,836$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.72 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 47c | 1,833$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.61 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Wizards | 47c | 1,544$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.62 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf963…aa06backed Heat | 51c | 1,342$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Heat | 65c | 1,205$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.43 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Heat | 50c | 1,185$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.32 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Heat | 54c | 1,037$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.75 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Heat | 49c | 1,000$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Wizards | 50c | 959.68$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.66 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Heat | 53c | 930.43$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.99 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…9d86backed Wizards | 48c | 890.7$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Wizards | 48c | 835$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.2 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards | 48c | 810.57$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.5 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Heat | 50c | 805.62$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.39 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Heat | 48c | 740.03$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.21 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Heat | 53c | 733.43$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.72 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Heat | 53c | 729.86$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.79 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Heat | 50c | 621.77$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.89 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Heat | 53c | 599.99$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.99 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Wizards | 49c | 590.91$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.44 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Wizards | 49c | 585.76$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.89 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Heat | 53c | 580.15$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.25 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Heat | 53c | 579.53$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.15 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Heat | 52c | 513.62$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.08 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Heat | 52c | 489.09$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.33 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Wizards | 54c | 480.46$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.1 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Heat | 53c | 470.45$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.49 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Heat | 52c | 466.92$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.8 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Heat | 52c | 433.56$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.02 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Heat | 56c | 432.99$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.74 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Wizards | 48c | 428.61$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.28 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Wizards | 47c | 424.11$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.76 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Wizards | 48c | 419.2$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.56 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Wizards | 48c | 415.64$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.12 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Wizards | 47c | 412$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.36 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 46c | 409.01$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.6 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Wizards | 47c | 394.98$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.34 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Wizards | 46c | 386.91$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.93 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wizards | 48c | 380$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.44 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Wizards | 47c | 376.5$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.54 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Heat | 52c | 374.6$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.57 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…0d9fbacked Heat | 53c | 365.07$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.39 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Wizards | 37c | 362.18$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.92 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Heat | 53c | 326.12$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.49 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Heat | 54c | 291.72$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.53 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Heat | 52c | 287.45$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.47 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wizards | 48c | 287.36$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.03 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards | 49c | 269.51$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.45 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Heat | 52c | 265.83$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.02 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards | 48c | 265.45$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.03 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Wizards | 47c | 248.58$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.75 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Heat | 51c | 237.89$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.33 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aae…16e6backed Heat | 51c | 235.91$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Wizards | 47c | 224.33$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.29 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…7907backed Heat | 58c | 220.64$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.42 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ff…8d60backed Wizards | 45c | 211.57$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.63 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Heat | 52c | 210.88$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.26 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Wizards | 47c | 209$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Wizards | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Wizards | 46c | 199.98$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Wizards | 46c | 199.97$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.98 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Heat | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Wizards | 48c | 197.78$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.83 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4efc…6391backed Heat | 54c | 194.48$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.02 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…df05backed Wizards | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Wizards | 48c | 193.76$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.76 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Heat | 52c | 188.66$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…df66backed Heat | 79c | 187.47$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.1 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Heat | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Heat | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2b…c1a3backed Heat | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Wizards | 47c | 186.45$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.35 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Heat | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Heat (-17.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-10.5)Heat won
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Pelle Larsson: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Pelle Larsson: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Heat (-14.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-15.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-16.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Heat (-18.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Heat (-19.5)Wizards won
- Tre Johnson: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Will Riley: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Wizards vs. HeatHeat won
- Wizards vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Wizards vs. Heat: 1H O/U 127.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 245.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 246.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 248.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 249.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 250.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 265.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.