NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07e1444f4d502408d72c3244b05976bf527cf2f9d038347ea02c861062bbd37b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Flyers, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $567,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $567,362 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 488 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Flyers | 46c | 161,974$74,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,694.57 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Flyers | 44c | 114,000$50,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,840.34 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Penguins | 56c | 78,041$43,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,703.2 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Penguins | 56c | 42,033$23,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,538.45 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Penguins | 56c | 30,957$17,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,352.15 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Penguins | 56c | 23,098$12,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,934.91 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Flyers | 50c | 22,895$11,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,426.1 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 51c | 21,959$11,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,169.44 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Flyers | 44c | 12,616$5,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,065.11 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Penguins | 51c | 10,804$5,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,535.04 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Penguins | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Flyers | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600.14 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Penguins | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins | 55c | 8,050$4,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,448.47 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Penguins | 56c | 8,000$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,480 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Penguins | 50c | 7,685$3,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,874.93 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…ce5fbacked Penguins | 1c | 6,602$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Penguins | 56c | 5,714$3,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,178.29 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Flyers | 45c | 5,702$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,148.92 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Flyers | 44c | 5,127$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,871.28 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Penguins | 50c | 5,074$2,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,536.95 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Penguins | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Penguins | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Penguins | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.99 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Penguins | 56c | 4,867$2,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,725.47 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Penguins | 55c | 4,408$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.51 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Penguins | 56c | 4,026$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.45 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Penguins | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Penguins | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Penguins | 54c | 3,966$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.97 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Penguins | 53c | 3,763$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.31 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Penguins | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Penguins | 50c | 3,472$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.07 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x506c…20e0backed Penguins | 56c | 3,350$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flyers | 41c | 3,142$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.04 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…cc34backed Flyers | 44c | 3,030$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Flyers | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Penguins | 51c | 2,771$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.45 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ae…a7b9backed Penguins | 55c | 2,734$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…b9a9backed Penguins | 56c | 2,692$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Flyers | 43c | 2,645$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.34 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Penguins | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…c5dabacked Flyers | 44c | 2,594$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Penguins | 59c | 2,543$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.33 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x159b…b932backed Flyers | 44c | 2,420$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…ea96backed Flyers | 44c | 2,404$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Penguins | 56c | 2,400$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3812…8bb9backed Penguins | 56c | 2,392$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Penguins | 60c | 2,319$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.06 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…1a7ebacked Penguins | 56c | 2,306$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…8cf0backed Penguins | 56c | 2,141$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…d8debacked Penguins | 56c | 2,100$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Penguins | 55c | 1,776$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.78 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Penguins | 56c | 1,688$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.75 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9253…56bcbacked Flyers | 48c | 1,666$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Penguins | 56c | 1,311$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.16 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Penguins | 57c | 1,300$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.99 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…59fcbacked Flyers | 45c | 1,235$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea3…f51cbacked Flyers | 45c | 1,223$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Penguins | 56c | 1,161$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Penguins | 56c | 1,111$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.11 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…701abacked Flyers | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…6ae0backed Flyers | 45c | 1,096$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0d…58d9backed Flyers | 45c | 1,078$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…f8e1backed Penguins | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…b7bfbacked Flyers | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…9b21backed Penguins | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e74…17adbacked Flyers | 45c | 979$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Penguins | 64c | 927.81$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.73 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Flyers | 44c | 909.77$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.77 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Flyers | 44c | 908.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.04 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Flyers | 44c | 905$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.8 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…a0a6backed Penguins | 56c | 900$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Penguins | 52c | 899$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.85 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Penguins | 56c | 892.85$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…b22bbacked Flyers | 44c | 886.25$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.3 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Penguins | 55c | 884.31$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.54 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Penguins | 57c | 877.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Penguins | 57c | 877.41$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Penguins | 53c | 830$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.26 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Penguins | 56c | 813.28$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.44 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Flyers | 40c | 808.4$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.25 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0df…c112backed Flyers | 45c | 722.43$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.44 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x893f…982bbacked Flyers | 45c | 720.55$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8c…c078backed Flyers | 45c | 718.56$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…9aafbacked Flyers | 44c | 699.99$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +135.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Penguins | 54c | 699.97$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.98 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…c091backed Flyers | 45c | 649$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c16…18abbacked Flyers | 45c | 639.98$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e26…2aa2backed Penguins | 56c | 632.35$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1c…3697backed Penguins | 57c | 614.05$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…161bbacked Flyers | 45c | 613.17$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Penguins | 55c | 611.45$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a5…b220backed Flyers | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Penguins | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Penguins | 54c | 599.48$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.91 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Flyers | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Flyers | 44c | 584$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.04 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d1…c6b2backed Flyers | 45c | 580.3$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.35 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Penguins | 57c | 579.21$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Penguinsthis page
- Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.