Other European Leagues · resolved market
Eyüpspor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49021bb462fe7133b0cd605eb0b1eddf78f4f9f92e1f046146ea70c5afd5dfec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $460,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $460,639 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 47c | 427,234$198,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198,706.12 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 53c | 357,405$191,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166,325.68 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 53c | 28,371$15,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,275.62 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 21,246$11,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,834.17 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 54c | 12,538$6,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,765.33 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a37…f839backed Over | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 54c | 4,031$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.09 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 3,072$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.08 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 37c | 1,387$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.34 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Under | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Under | 59c | 1,048$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 34c | 963.41$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.41 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 54c | 907.78$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.58 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -10.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Over | 57c | 705.26$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…7677backed Under | 60c | 633.7$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 42c | 479.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Under | 57c | 351.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 56c | 324.82$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.21 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Under | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 67c | 283.58$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.58 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 270.44$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.14 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 29c | 258.62$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 52c | 249.18$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 55c | 245$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.51 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Under | 55c | 236.36$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 54c | 205.32$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.13 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 50c | 198$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…ec56backed Under | 44c | 178.68$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…b921backed Under | 56c | 178.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 51c | 171.85$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under | 68c | 141.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 47c | 137.53$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.83 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 55c | 136.52$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Under | 56c | 134.73$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 47c | 128$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 47c | 125.73$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 67c | 113.01$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…77aebacked Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f43…843abacked Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…d64abacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…0da9backed Under | 55c | 96$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x400e…374bbacked Over | 46c | 87.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 25c | 79.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ce…286abacked Under | 69c | 65.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 44c | 65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 46c | 53.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 37c | 53.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…c9d0backed Under | 55c | 51.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Under | 22c | 47.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3a…250dbacked Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…4f91backed Under | 54c | 43.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 78c | 38.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…0d4cbacked Under | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed18…1defbacked Over | 36c | 35.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x851d…a743backed Under | 54c | 30.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…4cc1backed Over | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Under | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…c830backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…614dbacked Under | 55c | 18.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eyüpspor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 1.5this page
- Eyüpspor vs. Trabzonspor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Eyüpspor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5Under won
- Eyüpspor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Eyüpspor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Eyüpspor (-1.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)Eyüpspor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.