NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc48a686f66ec633accb3b2c1af0753e7a79c374ba4ef38313c2fa9260192cdc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $630,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $621,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $630,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 388,648$188,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200,429.81 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 367,050$187,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187,791.35 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Over | 53c | 144,173$76,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,403.94 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 55,170$28,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,208.52 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 48c | 55,000$26,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,600 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 49c | 49,884$24,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,442.51 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 15,450$7,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,166.37 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Under | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…098abacked Under | 47c | 10,213$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,412.76 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 9,432$4,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,716.22 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Under | 48c | 6,567$3,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,414.68 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.99 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162b…3d49backed Under | 48c | 5,643$2,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,948.74 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 49c | 5,000$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…3096backed Under | 47c | 4,870$2,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,581.1 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 4,765$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.04 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 4,404$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280.9 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c75…329abacked Over | 53c | 3,662$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.91 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 53c | 2,820$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.57 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 2,508$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.32 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Under | 48c | 2,467$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.61 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 51c | 1,964$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.53 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43bf…425abacked Over | 52c | 1,837$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.69 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 1,679$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.64 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 1,562$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.31 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 46c | 1,155$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.53 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 1,141$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.94 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6048…2711backed Over | 59c | 999.63$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.99 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Over | 51c | 951.57$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.3 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 41c | 821.83$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.94 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Over | 52c | 821.61$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.55 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…0d9fbacked Over | 52c | 747.08$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.48 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 52c | 653.69$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.92 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 51c | 630.26$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.83 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Over | 53c | 600.82$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.33 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 52c | 558.52$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.64 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 47c | 532$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.96 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 516.41$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.79 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 489.39$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.99 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked Over | 52c | 473.95$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.45 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 52c | 473.31$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.34 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Over | 52c | 388.48$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Over | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.36 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 52c | 358.63$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.97 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 52c | 356.24$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.68 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 52c | 354.09$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.41 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 52c | 353.59$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.42 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 47c | 341.12$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.98 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 51c | 334.34$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.51 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2913…d241backed Over | 51c | 330.57$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.9 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…bde6backed Over | 53c | 291.54$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.52 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00da…e786backed Under | 49c | 284.45$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.07 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…8961backed Over | 52c | 278.88$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Over | 51c | 267.6$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.48 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 48c | 249.63$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.81 | 346 | 41%142 W · 204 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 51c | 245.97$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.07 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 240.53$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.59 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…c76fbacked Over | 52c | 225.32$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.17 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Under | 48c | 199.82$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.9 | 561 | 54.5%306 W · 255 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 53c | 198.25$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.07 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Over | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Over | 62c | 187.78$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.22 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Under | 49c | 186.7$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.22 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 47c | 185.88$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.16 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 52c | 185.06$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.15 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 52c | 175.6$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 50c | 173.19$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.6 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…9341backed Over | 51c | 154.37$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.42 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…5692backed Over | 52c | 153.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 46c | 150.11$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.06 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…2dedbacked Over | 53c | 146.69$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 52c | 142.77$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 39c | 136.66$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.06 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x492d…2f04backed Under | 73c | 135.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Under | 38c | 128.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54b2…2332backed Under | 51c | 118.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda65…0f34backed Under | 50c | 118.03$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -36%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 48c | 115.42$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d6…4af7backed Over | 52c | 111.88$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +11.8wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Under | 33c | 108.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.01 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…bad3backed Under | 50c | 107.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…79ccbacked Over | 51c | 103.28$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 53c | 100.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 53c | 99.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91a…4ea7backed Over | 52c | 98.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…f851backed Over | 52c | 97.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed Over | 56c | 93.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 48c | 93.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked Over | 53c | 93.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 47c | 89.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d3…f4f1backed Over | 52c | 88.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked Over | 52c | 84.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Pacers won
- Jarace Walker: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jarace Walker: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Max Strus: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Pacers vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Pacers vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Pacers vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 245.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 246.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 248.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 251.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.