TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,386
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,491

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,386 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0258…06d0backed Over0c40,421$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5911033.6%37 W · 73 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under34c11,533$3,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,644.472,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Under47c8,023$3,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,262.1748352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c7,937$4,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,078.632,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over64c6,263$4,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,030.953,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over74c4,722$3,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,477.1119246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under46c3,988$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.961,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over53c3,668$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.136,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over53c2,580$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.799,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under19c1,949$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.7952230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over53c1,792$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.5421350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c7…cad0backed Over55c1,414$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.73933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-35.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under42c1,381$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.911,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under44c1,335$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.442,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c1,294$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.185,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over72c872.99$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.1233258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x150c…cbb4backed Under56c831.69$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.071233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Over51c800$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4085269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over55c765.11$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.1390650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over56c749.09$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.5320536.6%75 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over54c714.84$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.984,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94f…ce94backed Over51c614.62$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.462568%17 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under41c476.78$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.33,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under45c476.21$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.9257950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over54c456.97$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.861,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over54c455.67$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.7158953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over55c444.58$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.7429849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under45c429.35$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.141,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22044345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under48c389.24$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2591846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce3e…ec47backed Over51c380.77$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.12633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-49.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over53c369.23$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.6964844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over52c365.81$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9871654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under43c361.17$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.52055%11 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06ff…8d60backed Under43c345.72$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.12642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Over58c336.14$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.968540%34 W · 51 L-16.2wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-35.4%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under44c333.09$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.083,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under62c331.52$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3295452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under19c326.29$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.7583039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb628…fd2bbacked Over76c322.16$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.4711873.7%87 W · 31 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under47c321.9$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.512,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7335…dd65backed Under47c315.93$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.334667.4%31 W · 15 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdca9…0898backed Under47c300.07$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.044839.6%19 W · 29 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over39c294.48$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.438,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over53c274.63$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9619550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under37c247.75$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.923,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Over49c244.99$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.714025%10 W · 30 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-56.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9950…d55fbacked Under47c212.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.723754.1%20 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under46c210.04$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.7849249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21af…6ba0backed Over55c203.45$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-58.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x64ad…bde6backed Over54c199.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1089749.5%48 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07f5…d680backed Over58c190.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.181450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over55c182.66$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.835052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Under45c180$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9921347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked Over54c171.92$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.657047.1%33 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x257b…d5e3backed Over29c158.47$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under45c157.66$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.715,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over53c153.42$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9514852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under24c152.21$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.681,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under47c151.18$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0742352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under45c150.15$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.581,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15f3…c9d2backed Over73c150.1$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.545742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over55c146.1$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.352,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f11…4529backed Over62c142$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.941442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over53c140$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.242853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over55c139.85$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.61,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over56c139.84$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.877643.4%33 W · 43 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over57c136.73$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9428949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x549d…35b9backed Over54c126.05$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0711354.9%62 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under47c124.59$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9651647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x08b8…5692backed Under43c113.58$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.74560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over54c107.49$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.011,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Over55c106.65$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.316053.8%86 W · 74 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Over54c104.3$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9815252.6%80 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5965349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ec5…5923backed Over52c102.51$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.83441.2%14 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over53c100.6$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.322,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5341050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2110…306fbacked Over53c99.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537844.9%35 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under45c98.83$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.381349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under35c96.8$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9737753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over38c96.27$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8444551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Under31c92.77$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0119166.5%127 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under67c92$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.478639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under47c88.88$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0153348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under46c85.87$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2793543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Over54c82.93$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7810252.9%54 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd23e…746bbacked Over51c82.31$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.982650%13 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over31c81.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0459250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked Under31c81.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.557846.2%36 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73ed…f7d5backed Over48c80.73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under48c80.32$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9167248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over30c79.09$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7321848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under41c79.05$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6440750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under45c78.46$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.281,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0101…3728backed Over63c77.6$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.791361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa363…4812backed Over51c76.64$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.822263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under29c75.37$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.611,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c74.83$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.333,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed Under68c66$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.127441.9%31 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.