MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd09e5492348748ec93098bae69929c3df041259f7f2ae642ecd1a427038ed531
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Cleveland Guardians, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $420,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $470,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $420,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 405 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 74,945$45,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,228.63 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 43,619$16,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,575.19 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 25,851$10,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,081.94 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 19,865$7,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,317.5 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 15,574$9,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,918.19 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 14,659$6,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,508.31 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 12,821$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 12,284$7,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,664.14 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Cleveland Guardians | 8c | 11,905$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.45 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 11,638$8,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,590 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 11,288$7,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,357.24 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 10,952$4,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,266.16 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 10,193$3,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,668.22 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 10,115$6,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,843.82 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.96 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 9,947$6,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,734.96 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6853…5846backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 9,750$6,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,705 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 8,816$3,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,438.18 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 8,598$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.83 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 74c | 8,179$6,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.83 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 8,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,960 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 7,960$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.74 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 7,759$3,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,025.99 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 7,500$4,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 7,213$3,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,254.16 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…0b1bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 6,764$4,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,637.26 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 6,479$4,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.77 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3837…c6b0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 4,789$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 7c | 3,426$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.14 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 3,387$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.52 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 3,300$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.11 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 2,916$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.05 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 2,760$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.42 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 2,656$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.34 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 2,581$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.3 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Cleveland Guardians | 24c | 2,542$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.85 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed6b…8b3cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 16c | 2,420$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.13 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 2,200$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.86 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.99 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 1,967$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.01 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 1,953$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.66 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 1,895$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.02 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 1,820$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.4 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 1,545$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.23 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 1,535$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.07 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…8c8dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 1,532$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.46 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 1,517$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.44 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 1,517$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.44 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 1,507$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 1,432$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.84 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 1,402$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0717…835ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 1,342$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.01 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…940dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 1,300$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 1,294$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.52 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 73c | 1,245$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.22 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…68ebbacked Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 1,239$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.55 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Cleveland Guardians | 16c | 1,116$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.04 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…0690backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 1,094$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…41a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 1,090$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 1,088$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.44 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 1,024$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 1,000$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4012…4d3fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 999.97$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.99 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 25c | 899.59$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.71 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cleveland Guardians | 20c | 801.22$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.71 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 789$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.82 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 738.84$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.76 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 716.36$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.09 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac1…e989backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 711.68$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 700$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2174…9b75backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 693$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 690.88$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.24 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 11c | 681.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 669.36$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.06 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 625$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.75 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…5715backed Cleveland Guardians | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 623.7$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.2 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 619.98$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.58 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 601.39$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.81 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd0…2219backed Cleveland Guardians | 13c | 599.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 599.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.99 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 557.58$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.88 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 538.55$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.1 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 513.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…eaf3backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 502.78$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cleveland Guardians | 4c | 499.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Cleveland Guardians | 23c | 480.82$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.43 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.