TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,271
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,902

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,271 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Under57c1,054$600 inWon+$454.928,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Over42c885.79$372 inLost-$372.0329948.8%146 W · 153 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under64c840.99$537 inWon+$304.253,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79fb…b4aebacked Over57c500$285 inLost-$28511550.4%58 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under65c460.59$300 inWon+$160.5919153.9%103 W · 88 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over43c401.21$173 inLost-$172.955,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Over56c400$224 inLost-$2242,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over17c399$68 inLost-$67.831,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cd3…5896backed Under44c344.73$152 inWon+$193.0517446%80 W · 94 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over50c120$59 inLost-$59.445,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under42c112.12$47 inWon+$64.722,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over58c83.62$48 inLost-$48.294,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over52c59.88$31 inLost-$30.9411,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under44c58.31$26 inWon+$32.458,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under58c55$32 inWon+$23.11,36754.3%742 W · 625 L+16.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under55c45.56$25 inWon+$20.5710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Under44c45.45$20 inWon+$25.4525448.4%123 W · 131 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x731b…6124backed Under64c39.06$25 inWon+$14.062133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under43c36$15 inWon+$20.522,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe903…0b88backed Over45c33.33$15 inLost-$152245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7be6…e1f9backed Under46c32.61$15 inWon+$17.61250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Under62c28.04$17 inWon+$10.716734.7%58 W · 109 L-17.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-31.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x651c…1084backed Under58c27.24$16 inWon+$11.541553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Under48c21.33$10 inWon+$11.0933934.5%117 W · 222 L-9.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under69c20.17$14 inWon+$6.169,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.