MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c3299676e15de9065a2b0ae71507bb1aa3c1439e55d3b5201903d8ac967f382
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 56c | 21,334$11,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,431.34 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 43c | 10,359$4,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,460.61 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e3…e736backed Over | 44c | 10,009$4,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,433.99 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Under | 57c | 7,100$4,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,053 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 57c | 4,386$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.96 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Over | 43c | 3,560$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.78 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc089…633cbacked Over | 43c | 3,550$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…c640backed Over | 43c | 2,302$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 43c | 2,008$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.48 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 44c | 1,763$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.14 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89da…a6c2backed Over | 44c | 1,748$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 58c | 1,635$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.52 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…40bfbacked Over | 44c | 1,617$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 39c | 1,505$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.05 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 44c | 1,466$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.73 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…98dcbacked Over | 42c | 1,452$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.79 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 42c | 1,364$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 55c | 1,110$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.96 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…0fe6backed Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…0776backed Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 45c | 936.21$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.29 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 57c | 844.44$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.11 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 43c | 748.2$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.99 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 57c | 737.23$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.01 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Over | 43c | 717.33$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.45 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 43c | 655$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.65 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 57c | 590.37$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.84 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 588$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.37 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Under | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 57c | 504.21$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.81 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 43c | 464.74$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.36 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 78c | 418$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.87 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 57c | 372.26$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.07 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Over | 43c | 347.67$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 57c | 341.95$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.04 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Over | 35c | 332.54$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.39 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 44c | 263.67$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.01 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 72c | 254.27$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.1 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 57c | 229.26$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.58 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Under | 57c | 220.81$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.95 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a8…22f0backed Over | 43c | 204.4$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 58c | 178.02$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.77 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Over | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…804abacked Over | 10c | 154.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 43c | 125.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Under | 59c | 123.49$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Under | 60c | 102$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…3afdbacked Over | 42c | 95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Over | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 339 | 34.5%117 W · 222 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…b095backed Over | 46c | 78.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 36c | 74.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 64c | 69.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Over | 43c | 61.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 43c | 58.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 43c | 56.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -5.3wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef6…9b93backed Under | 57c | 55.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 43c | 52.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c0…5dd2backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 184 | 58.2%107 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…b73dbacked Under | 57c | 48.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 47.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over | 44c | 44.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 57c | 43.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 44c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 187 | 51.9%97 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 43c | 34.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 55c | 27.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Over | 43c | 27.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe36…5ceabacked Under | 57c | 26.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 42c | 26.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Over | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 252 | 56.7%143 W · 109 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3a…3f70backed Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3554…e197backed Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d48fbacked Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc875…3005backed Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda1c…d7dabacked Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec7…ed98backed Over | 44c | 23.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 58c | 22.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 653 | 59.6%389 W · 264 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Under | 57c | 18.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…14b1backed Under | 57c | 18.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5this page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.