TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,346
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,420

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,346 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Under56c21,334$11,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,431.3455053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over43c10,359$4,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,460.6111,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47e3…e736backed Over44c10,009$4,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,433.994742.6%20 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Under57c7,100$4,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,05344851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under57c4,386$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,885.961,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Over43c3,560$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,530.7819546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc089…633cbacked Over43c3,550$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over43c2,326$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9949158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda39…c640backed Over43c2,302$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9901560%9 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over43c2,008$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.488,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8605,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over44c1,763$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.142,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89da…a6c2backed Over44c1,748$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.99812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick49cpaid-77.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under58c1,635$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.521,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c27…40bfbacked Over44c1,617$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.54450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over39c1,505$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.053,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over44c1,466$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.7365549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1171…98dcbacked Over42c1,452$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.792245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over42c1,364$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5731,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under55c1,110$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.9668053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdcd…0fe6backed Over44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a91…0776backed Over44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over45c936.21$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.2973748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under57c844.44$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.1154152.1%282 W · 259 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Over43c748.2$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.992,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under57c737.23$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.011,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over43c717.33$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.457343.8%32 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over43c655$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.6512350.4%62 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under57c590.37$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.841,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over43c588$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.3712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Under57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3247545.9%218 W · 257 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under57c504.21$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.811,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21061352.5%322 W · 291 L+29.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over43c464.74$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.362,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under78c418$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.871,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under57c372.26$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.0751555.7%287 W · 228 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed Over43c347.67$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.51650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under57c341.95$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0445246.2%209 W · 243 L-18.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Over35c332.54$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3936440.1%146 W · 218 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over44c263.67$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.016,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under72c254.27$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.18,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under57c229.26$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5827146.9%127 W · 144 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Under57c220.81$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.9518551.4%95 W · 90 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71a8…22f0backed Over43c204.4$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.89616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-72.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Over43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8669249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under58c178.02$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7770154.2%380 W · 321 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4124950.6%126 W · 123 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Under58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4137256.5%210 W · 162 L+1.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…aa3cbacked Over43c162.79$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7014946.3%69 W · 80 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc057…804abacked Over10c154.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.983756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over43c125.93$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.154,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c91…b4d2backed Under59c123.49$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6312752.8%67 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Over42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Under60c102$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8250748.7%247 W · 260 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4237357.4%214 W · 159 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…3afdbacked Over42c95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.94858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Over21c95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9533934.5%117 W · 222 L-9.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4079543%342 W · 453 L-3.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7252449%257 W · 267 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04c7…b095backed Over46c78.26$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over36c74.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.995,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under64c69.7$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Over43c61.84$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5910649.1%52 W · 54 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over43c58.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.854,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Over43c56.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.52133.3%7 W · 14 L-5.3wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-38.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6ef6…9b93backed Under57c55.42$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.836741.8%28 W · 39 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over43c52.86$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7367453%357 W · 317 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Under57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6326753.9%144 W · 123 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Over43c51.16$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2220046.5%93 W · 107 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Over43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.682741.1%340 W · 487 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07c0…5dd2backed Under55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.518458.2%107 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8ac…b73dbacked Under57c48.79$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9811551.3%59 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over46c47.84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over44c44.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6232857.9%190 W · 138 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under57c43.4$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6629450.7%149 W · 145 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over44c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.499447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x829a…a748backed Under57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0918751.9%97 W · 90 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x193a…2b55backed Under57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0923455.1%129 W · 105 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over43c34.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8229354.9%161 W · 132 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Under55c27.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4731258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Over43c27.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6812541.6%52 W · 73 L-13.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe36…5ceabacked Under57c26.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.592733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.9wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-33.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over42c26.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1230048%144 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Over44c26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4625850.4%130 W · 128 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Under58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8625256.7%143 W · 109 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b3a…3f70backed Under58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.86475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+39%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3554…e197backed Under58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.86475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+52.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22fb…d48fbacked Under59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc875…3005backed Under59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.42850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda1c…d7dabacked Under59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+62.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under57c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3218353.6%98 W · 85 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec7…ed98backed Over44c23.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.344850%24 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Under58c22.16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3165359.6%389 W · 264 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59d7…f69dbacked Under57c18.56$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.989147.3%43 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x600b…14b1backed Under57c18.56$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.982445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.