TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,312
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,682

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,312 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Over43c7,001$3,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,036.7669848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under43c4,157$1,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,383.4455251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c3,476$2,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.848,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f8…d85abacked Over57c3,457$1,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,970.731384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.25per pick60cpaid+52.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over58c2,576$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under57c2,397$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.481,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Over57c1,639$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93021957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over56c1,447$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.326,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under43c1,271$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.4756843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under44c1,186$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.964,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under39c1,166$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.971,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over21c1,107$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.4720034%68 W · 132 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+28.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under56c1,089$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.9634255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under42c1,087$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.971,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over58c1,034$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.9219959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57050346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over49c947.25$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.432,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Over45c923.08$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.3920856.7%118 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under43c891.59$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.2115644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under43c839.95$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.1912146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under51c790.18$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.1990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under51c781.83$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.6163746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under56c700$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.132450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under43c677.18$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.761,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over24c632$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.732,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc658…64acbacked Under43c625.82$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.38666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+57%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under77c565.65$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.681,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under42c519.72$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.911,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71cbbacked Under44c508.54$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.78875%6 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+127.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c87…bb1abacked Over60c500.91$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed Over61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3054443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2451,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over14c498.66$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4731222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Under57c492.84$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.9289444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under41c470.88$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.822,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under58c464.31$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.9942842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Over26c436$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.282245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under41c432.04$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.929243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Under43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22813133.6%44 W · 87 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under44c383.06$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.8952150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over56c369.47$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.91,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over41c358.45$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.961,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over31c316.06$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9818557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under43c309.41$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.8525352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over19c287$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.531,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ab…8432backed Under71c281.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.515446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over61c279.07$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.2362144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over61c261.73$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.1784443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x512c…58b3backed Over57c260.03$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.2260%0 W · 6 L-3.2wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed Over59c259$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.811376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Under43c256$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.9217247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under43c218.32$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.2918653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over47c211.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under61c210$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5552053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under43c204.66$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.661,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc13f…c93bbacked Over57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11463445.1%286 W · 348 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad60…bbe5backed Over58c189.66$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over57c188.29$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.324,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27ca…e628backed Over56c184.65$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.43951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over55c182.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3266352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013037.7%49 W · 81 L-14.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under40c174.5$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.71,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over31c170$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb19…60e6backed Over59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002250%11 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a7a…9ca2backed Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Under43c162.79$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7917848.3%86 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over38c158.27$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5853842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over31c158.03$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9925150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over31c156.48$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7330842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a0…ad68backed Over57c154.39$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under43c150.73$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2864948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under39c146.63$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8927245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over31c128.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6936051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa4e…eadfbacked Over26c126.92$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335337.7%20 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd371…d25fbacked Over59c120$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.81225%3 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under56c107.82$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.632654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0a1…6daebacked Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022442.9%96 W · 128 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under43c101.91$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.098354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4d…33acbacked Over58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a88…3dadbacked Under43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe05…c67cbacked Over55c90.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502050%10 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee2d…ba67backed Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503865.8%25 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under42c89.09$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6710747.7%51 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Under65c83$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.057150.7%36 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75b6…8ad0backed Over27c63.26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0811541.7%48 W · 67 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over16c61.81$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1225045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…aa3cbacked Under41c61.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.599046.7%42 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over25c61.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3c7…7070backed Over57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.24963.3%31 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4588…9330backed Over60c57.93$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5130%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under75c57$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2545445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over61c52.6$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0826755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9e2…bd26backed Over57c51.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.56977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+48.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbdca…3e35backed Over58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-56%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under44c51$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3539552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f7a…719bbacked Under80c50.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.072544%11 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f2…d2d8backed Over20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xacfc…f2fdbacked Under41c48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.32887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.40per pick48cpaid+84.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Under58c45.43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2717237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.