NBA · resolved market
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7bb77d6f86c95241d6021e4b908ae11516afe1518d9418c357af321546c2961
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 56c | 8,004$4,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.86 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Yes | 51c | 5,432$2,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,673.02 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed No | 44c | 4,593$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.12 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed No | 44c | 3,930$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.02 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +8.0wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed No | 48c | 3,771$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.08 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc452…7234backed Yes | 58c | 2,552$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.12 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 51c | 2,266$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.16 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 42c | 1,901$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.35 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Yes | 57c | 1,734$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.51 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 50c | 1,121$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.89 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…e8bdbacked No | 44c | 977.77$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.03 | 330 | 49.1%162 W · 168 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3824backed Yes | 57c | 582.33$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.16 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 44c | 524.92$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.91 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…45d1backed Yes | 55c | 506.84$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked No | 45c | 499.97$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 42c | 496.94$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.72 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 44c | 485$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.4 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…ab8abacked Yes | 64c | 470.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.52 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Yes | 56c | 464.29$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.29 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa81…44a9backed Yes | 55c | 355.48$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.48 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 44c | 350.27$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.36 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc82…a7c8backed No | 43c | 321$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…0fc0backed Yes | 55c | 274$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked No | 37c | 260.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.96 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed No | 45c | 237.78$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd312…4a63backed Yes | 58c | 224.79$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.79 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 11c | 213.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed No | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 58c | 173.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed Yes | 56c | 161.59$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 44c | 156.43$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.83 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57af…81cebacked No | 44c | 135.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x055c…6a54backed Yes | 57c | 132.09$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…3c66backed No | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04e7…332fbacked Yes | 57c | 105.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x76c0…4731backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f88…aa7abacked Yes | 56c | 99.63$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 44c | 97.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 199 | 59.3%118 W · 81 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…3122backed Yes | 54c | 91.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1ab1backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 46c | 81.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf773…f97ebacked Yes | 56c | 80.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +129%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 15c | 76.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4496…97c0backed Yes | 56c | 72.68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0f…859dbacked Yes | 54c | 68.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 42cpaid | +125.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Yes | 55c | 68.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Yes | 56c | 66.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9736…43c7backed No | 46c | 65.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e40…1945backed Yes | 57c | 54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…e7aabacked Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac7…8d58backed No | 48c | 48.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258b…270ebacked Yes | 56c | 42.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 40c | 42.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 56c | 38.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 405 | 48.6%197 W · 208 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Yes | 52c | 31.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed No | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c2…e8b8backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 256 | 42.2%108 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked No | 37c | 27.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb6…9e4dbacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd19…b361backed Yes | 57c | 23.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +114.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…5397backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell Total 3-Pointers (incl. OT): O/U 2.5Under won
- Jalen Brunson Total 3-Pointers (incl. OT): O/U 2.5Under won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1Q WinnerSpurs won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1st Team to Make a ThreeKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- OG Anunoby Total 3-Pointers (incl. OT): O/U 2.5Over won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.