TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,007
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,731

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,007 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x78f4…4a4abacked Over2c10,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401963.2%12 W · 7 L+6.8wins+0.36per pick27cpaid+124.2%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed Over1c10,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Over3c7,625$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.53611.1%4 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick5cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Over5c6,606$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.33802.5%2 W · 78 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-88.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Over1c6,500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+61.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7288…9ec5backed Over1c6,403$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.81450%2 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+179.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x276b…c0c8backed Over4c5,800$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2041921.1%4 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under33c4,962$1,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,308.131,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over62c3,201$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.11,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Over2c2,625$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4531951.1%163 W · 156 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Over3c2,560$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731816.7%3 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick8cpaid+124.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Over1c2,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30981%1 W · 97 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Over2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405416.7%9 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under22c1,822$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,422.225248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed Over1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Over1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Over6c1,250$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8353945.3%244 W · 295 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over69c1,240$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8503729.7%11 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over3c1,205$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1678639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under29c1,134$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.1618235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94ba…001dbacked Over2c1,100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261010%1 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under14c1,073$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.6695651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over50c1,006$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under50c1,000$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.92,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over57c893$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.0893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over56c716.14$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.9664948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over77c615.69$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.7111145.9%51 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under49c612$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.1246959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over77c600$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46279650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Over14c599.5$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7317237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd8c…dfbebacked Over57c596.23$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.752744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Under22c595.44$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.4414640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Over6c558.94$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.11225%3 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Over8c520$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0533030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under48c500$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.571,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Over7c500$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3316640.4%67 W · 99 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa43a…1475backed Over51c500$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2571323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Over7c500$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3321242%89 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Over7c500$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3323441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under48c483.98$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.2955251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Over8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324526.7%12 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9856…8d02backed Under46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2163158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+44.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over57c374.68$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.9825045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c0…fad2backed Over5c311.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.03425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+50.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb980…73b0backed Over78c285$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid+31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c212.93$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.768,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under46c210.83$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.622,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over79c203.23$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.529956.6%56 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa596…15e9backed Over60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1208246.3%38 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked Over15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013036.2%47 W · 83 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Over8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Over8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Under40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12065762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Over8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1645544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Over15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011329.2%33 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under15c190.24$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.7830551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under15c161.91$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.1515644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Over54c143.15$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.317848.3%86 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43bc…fcdfbacked Over74c134.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001850%9 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over51c125.94$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3860250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over56c116.21$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0825554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under13c116.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.0525954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under50c114.89$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1869848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bba…a2eabacked Over80c99.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802751.9%14 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under33c98.18$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0437652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under40c97.96$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7832654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over34c86.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7831222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under48c83.1$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2152861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under44c72$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.562,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under45c71.88$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7215044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under49c70.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.931,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under25c66.11$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2952150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under41c64.32$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0668838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Over79c60$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.413746%63 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Over56c58.72$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6816867.3%113 W · 55 L+13.8wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Under55c45.85$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6321953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x101c…543dbacked Over73c40.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.132263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24b9…f36ebacked Under58c39.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.651546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0122…44e1backed Over69c35.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.77475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+36.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over75c33.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257561.3%46 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6383…c734backed Over44c31.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under38c31.3$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3531953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.271752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under47c28.37$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9725340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x499c…2f8ebacked Over78c26.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215251.9%27 W · 25 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-21.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over45c25.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2639552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Under49c24.29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3915648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over57c22.56$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8230616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over78c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.696956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Over71c17.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.554736.2%17 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Over79c12.58$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.