TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Knicks, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,412
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,550

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,412 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Spurs62c5,135$3,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,951.4769848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Knicks38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90011447.4%54 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x246b…fb5bbacked Spurs64c3,922$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.761573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabcc…55e2backed Spurs64c3,545$2,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Knicks38c2,816$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.1620155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks35c2,555$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9074,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Knicks37c2,297$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.895843.1%25 W · 33 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Knicks38c1,311$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.944355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Knicks36c972$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.922,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Knicks38c840.45$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.375058%29 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Spurs62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.457445.9%34 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9087…9532backed Spurs66c752.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.938229.3%24 W · 58 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Spurs61c721.1$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.5718235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Knicks36c600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21610542.9%45 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs62c599.99$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2281,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Spurs62c509.32$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.0917247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Knicks35c445.92$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0711145.9%51 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Knicks49c413.45$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.220651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Knicks38c399.59$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2519959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Spurs63c338.29$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.1716050%80 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks27c332.38$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Spurs78c317$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.741,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Spurs73c308$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.169349.5%46 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Spurs65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.694346.5%20 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-18.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Knicks37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112540%10 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Knicks27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8123652.5%124 W · 112 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Spurs70c295.5$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3721848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5c7…5cecbacked Knicks39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+36%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Knicks49c207$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.76152.5%32 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9718…ffd8backed Spurs50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Spurs66c180.73$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4830842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs65c174.06$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.861,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3d…235fbacked Spurs65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.854372.1%31 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe04…a198backed Knicks37c136.57$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.14933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd096…2f6fbacked Knicks38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3d0…6fc8backed Knicks38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504965.3%32 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe34c…ca55backed Knicks38c110.36$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.241181.8%9 W · 2 L+4.3wins+0.39per pick43cpaid+103.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Spurs63c105$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.527942.7%119 W · 160 L-14.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2eb5…c2adbacked Knicks37c102$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7410945%49 W · 60 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Spurs63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3714940.3%60 W · 89 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Knicks36c98.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4518653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb071…360abacked Knicks38c97.37$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x62d5…bc0cbacked Spurs50c94.22$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.722853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdd2…6555backed Knicks38c76.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Knicks37c75.72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0284443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdae6…7d39backed Spurs63c61.68$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.821136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Spurs62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.860049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed Spurs58c52.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.847970.9%56 W · 23 L+9.6wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+23.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0193…6db1backed Knicks47c42.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203330.3%10 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7a6…5c87backed Spurs74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45b8…3c28backed Knicks39c35.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1416944.4%75 W · 94 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…5ef4backed Knicks36c35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa776…adaebacked Knicks49c34.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.92540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Spurs62c31.39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9312146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Spurs61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.71,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2996…73debacked Spurs61c24.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3513744.5%61 W · 76 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5457…af17backed Spurs63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs76c22.68$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.41,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Spurs61c21.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.471,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Spurs63c20.65$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6419445.9%89 W · 105 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Spurs64c19.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.234850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Spurs63c17.81$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5911446.5%53 W · 61 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Spurs62c17.7$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7312150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.