TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,648
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,043

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,648 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Under48c9,416$4,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,880.269848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over68c7,961$5,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,452.8984443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over33c7,780$2,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,571.9585742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over57c6,761$3,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,868.1464948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over66c5,336$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50024159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under43c4,106$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,323.3552150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Under43c3,540$1,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.896152.5%32 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c3,331$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.298,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under58c3,260$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.953842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Under36c3,034$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,941.596141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over52c2,964$1,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,541.051,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over56c2,886$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,607.661,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb240…df51backed Over71c2,502$1,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,776.962025%5 W · 15 L-5.6wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-54.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over67c2,254$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5602,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Under37c1,895$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.523652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Under43c1,888$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.114050%20 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over28c1,800$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.4693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over24c1,755$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.751,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under34c1,720$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.891,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over3c1,695$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7331222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under36c1,647$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.032,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Under35c1,464$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.797532%24 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under32c1,191$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.6317249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under66c1,125$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.4745445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over66c1,068$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70011558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d18…2365backed Over66c1,050$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over52c1,024$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.6255251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.132,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef85…2c38backed Over48c999.74$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.823647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under58c803.66$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.8542842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under36c769.26$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.3315644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under40c714.42$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.9618235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over38c676.07$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.7536051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under33c638.83$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.0271449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under33c577.98$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.251,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Over66c533.88$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.3642348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2601,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under73c456.16$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.1665872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under36c411.76$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.531,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc5…1e15backed Under36c411.11$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.11933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over52c405$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.653647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under69c398.69$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.111,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c32…766dbacked Over40c377.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under33c348.05$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.1866352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Under32c332.48$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.093964.1%25 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.21per pick44cpaid+56.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over37c328.59$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8790650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over39c315.46$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8763746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over42c312.53$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.6452861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x03a0…ff20backed Over65c304.32$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.811855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7845…417bbacked Over65c298.08$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.756547.7%31 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over54c297.35$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.6825045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under34c290.56$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.7721147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under39c273$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.531,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under35c236.92$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15410747.7%51 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked Over47c235.21$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.552650%13 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Over54c222.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12017848.3%86 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over64c217.31$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.0824955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under43c203.72$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.246636.4%24 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over65c199.99$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.9946346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under50c190.6$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8615044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under78c181$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1711354.9%62 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over56c160$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0722753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under39c140.05$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7989048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Under39c138.83$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.289524.2%23 W · 72 L-9.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-20.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbdca…5382backed Over32c130.4$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.15450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+44.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under53c127$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1530842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Under58c126$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9253945.3%244 W · 295 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9f90…ed62backed Over67c123.43$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.71442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf59b…7ab0backed Under33c121.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.211741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over69c120$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.426755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over42c117$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1425150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under35c111$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.686,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under62c103$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1432450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under34c102.94$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.946344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over65c101.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2961253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under34c101.24$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.831,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ca…da6abacked Under33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+80.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Under40c98.24$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9421953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Under32c92.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7910548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77c6…85b9backed Over29c91$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.311717.6%3 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-62.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6fb1…0073backed Under33c90.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9114953%79 W · 70 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c90$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.61,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under69c90$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.952053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under32c86.9$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5927245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x803a…d56abacked Over39c84.28$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8750%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over37c83.69$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3560250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under43c81.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.49949.5%49 W · 50 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under33c80.2$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1460049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Under38c75.32$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.759255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over66c72.6$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5919959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe9af…f4f7backed Under35c71.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.31154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under33c67.33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.995152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Under41c65.14$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3412150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under43c62.79$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.799748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Under39c62.19$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9415648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.625954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1dc6…fb06backed Under50c58.34$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.22441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe046…9bc6backed Under40c56.67$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.124961.2%30 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9bf…e5d8backed Under35c55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.75540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.