NBA · resolved market
1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda222134d90ff846e3e2e52fb4c64577b9c590a3cde68d3f897b5cc9d5b838f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Spurs | 56c | 7,187$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,186.9 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks | 46c | 4,143$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.32 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed Knicks | 47c | 3,830$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Knicks | 44c | 2,347$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.48 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Spurs | 54c | 685.19$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.19 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Knicks | 50c | 560$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.92 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Spurs | 51c | 539.89$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.41 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Knicks | 46c | 538.94$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.96 | 199 | 59.3%118 W · 81 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Spurs | 52c | 477$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.96 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Knicks | 24c | 414.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Knicks | 49c | 405.53$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.71 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Spurs | 54c | 324.07$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.07 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Knicks | 38c | 290.51$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.69 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Knicks | 46c | 249.11$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.59 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Knicks | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 271 | 38.7%105 W · 166 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Spurs | 41c | 198.69$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.23 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Spurs | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1410…3fb1backed Spurs | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Spurs | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f3…883cbacked Spurs | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…f60abacked Spurs | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.44per pick | 45cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…3452backed Spurs | 54c | 171.04$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Spurs | 49c | 139.58$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.22 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc78b…5c76backed Spurs | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -9.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Spurs | 70c | 132.05$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Knicks | 47c | 125.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Spurs | 79c | 116.05$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs | 65c | 113.53$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs | 69c | 104.63$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43c0…51ffbacked Knicks | 58c | 102.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Knicks | 45c | 97.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8561…936ebacked Knicks | 50c | 97.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Spurs | 69c | 84.08$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad8…8a2cbacked Spurs | 54c | 79.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Spurs | 54c | 74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Knicks | 46c | 67.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks | 47c | 61.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Spurs | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Spurs | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…2513backed Knicks | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Spurs | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed Knicks | 47c | 46.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…6db1backed Knicks | 46c | 43.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…9a30backed Spurs | 58c | 43.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Knicks | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Knicks | 47c | 39.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Knicks | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Spurs | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 561 | 54.5%306 W · 255 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x485c…c6b3backed Spurs | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…51debacked Spurs | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Spurs | 36c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…3cccbacked Knicks | 66c | 30.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Spurs | 53c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Spurs | 63c | 29.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d6cabacked Knicks | 50c | 29.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Spurs | 53c | 27.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spurs | 56c | 22.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks | 57c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7df…8ecebacked Spurs | 54c | 19.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Spurs | 53c | 19.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)this page
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell Total 3-Pointers (incl. OT): O/U 2.5Under won
- Jalen Brunson Total 3-Pointers (incl. OT): O/U 2.5Under won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1Q WinnerSpurs won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1st Team to Make a ThreeKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- OG Anunoby Total 3-Pointers (incl. OT): O/U 2.5Over won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.