TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,706
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,465

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,706 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x50c3…ace1backed Over54c2,413$1,293 inLost-$1,292.8932957.4%189 W · 140 L+18.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under47c2,014$947 inWon+$1,067.2569848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab0…7147backed Over53c2,000$1,060 inLost-$1,06050%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c1,546$713 inWon+$833.664,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under47c1,003$472 inWon+$531.4356843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c616.56$295 inWon+$321.382,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed Over54c261.07$140 inLost-$139.881376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under49c253.06$124 inWon+$129.0611242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3516…45e5backed Over50c204.16$102 inLost-$10240%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x53cd…200dbacked Over8c170.05$13 inLost-$13250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…e6d8backed Over52c150$78 inLost-$783063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…33acbacked Over53c107$57 inLost-$56.711346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under53c94.72$50 inWon+$44.7240344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under48c62.83$30 inWon+$32.678354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ba9…c25fbacked Over52c57.17$30 inLost-$306246.8%29 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d68…d64cbacked Over53c50.94$27 inLost-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb781…deefbacked Over51c48.55$25 inLost-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under48c39.32$19 inWon+$20.51,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over49c37.2$18 inLost-$18.41,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over49c32.58$16 inLost-$15.9633356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4078…7d91backed Under50c29.8$15 inWon+$14.85540%22 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over52c25.36$13 inLost-$13.1319959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.