TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,119
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,623

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,119 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under34c5,414$1,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,555.58,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over50c4,364$2,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,166.8519246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over46c4,267$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.251,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under46c3,028$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.7669848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over56c2,897$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,630.393148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under26c2,817$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,074.4218235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0f…4667backed Under19c2,575$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,089.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+430.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under46c2,428$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.891,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under47c2,178$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.1430551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over62c1,923$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.5453842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under37c1,688$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.431,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under18c1,495$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.651,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Under16c1,492$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.523964.1%25 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.21per pick44cpaid+56.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under18c1,338$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.6415644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Under44c1,100$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6156152.5%32 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under17c1,097$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.91,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under17c1,000$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.3511437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over53c912.67$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.292,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over12c743.06$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3731222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over68c735.52$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c701.81$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.941,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over52c700$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.8520034%68 W · 132 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+28.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over58c612.49$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.7860250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9135…8362backed Over77c608$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.161172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over65c570.95$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.546959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked Over73c545.27$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002857.1%16 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over51c539.6$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.2464948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over31c495.25$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.7225045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Under24c489$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.036141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Under16c425.49$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.491225%3 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under27c412$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.762,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over60c355.52$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.1227245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over55c345.4$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.4452861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under17c327.15$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.6218653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Under17c294.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.678641.9%36 W · 50 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb980…73b0backed Under19c285$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.85425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid+31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under48c268.32$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.6268838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under17c248$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.8495651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under46c245$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.1515044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over56c223.97$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4245445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under56c206.75$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.6642842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under64c203.32$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1811354.9%62 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Under16c187.49$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.4910548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x782c…38c2backed Over65c154.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006555.4%36 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac15…75a4backed Over50c153.2$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.951656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Under40c151.12$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9616653.6%89 W · 77 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Under16c148.04$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.2614851.4%76 W · 72 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Under24c140$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.426233.6%88 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over65c137$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.052259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under51c123.76$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6432654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e13…e968backed Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Under29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Under17c99.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9936954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under44c97.21$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0855251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under26c95.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3452150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Under51c92.18$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.112055.8%67 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under54c92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3278639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over56c84.68$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3821953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over34c80.48$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.031,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48f…2327backed Over58c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.25750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ed3…135fbacked Under59c79.07$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over51c78.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6622753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Under17c72.94$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.543735.1%13 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe24f…614abacked Under16c62.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5580%4 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.52per pick28cpaid+312.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Over50c60.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over57c59.6$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2263746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc766…1533backed Over36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under46c54.74$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5490650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9063…683bbacked Over72c53.6$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over59c52.26$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8515648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Under48c49.14$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4310152.5%53 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe046…9bc6backed Over56c48.49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.074961.2%30 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over52c46.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.441,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over70c46.87$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8136051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06de…cf4cbacked Under39c46.65$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.52937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1dc6…fb06backed Under39c44$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.842441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over56c42.13$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7359255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7243…e409backed Under48c41.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.451963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over52c40.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.389048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Under43c37.07$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0721640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under48c36.43$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9419650.5%99 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1992…30e2backed Under37c35.94$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.795839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over50c35.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0230842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under29c34.75$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6231953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over48c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2152053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Under75c32.73$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0916369.9%114 W · 49 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x165d…a4d5backed Over56c30.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.014161%25 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e0e…704abacked Over56c30.19$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.014360.5%26 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.671752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Under35c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.511555.7%64 W · 51 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e74…19fabacked Under59c29.49$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.091471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Over49c28.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.049061.1%55 W · 35 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ef4…763dbacked Over71c28.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Over68c27.22$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3920946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd148…6b52backed Over40c25.02$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.063240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c25…6bbcbacked Under48c24.48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.672070%14 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+26.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under47c24.02$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7425340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1026…e794backed Over57c21.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.094161%25 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.