TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,100
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,748

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,100 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c6,054$3,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,812.128,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under49c3,600$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,83656646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d53…eb1abacked Over51c3,600$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8364362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over51c3,370$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.7252150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over33c2,329$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.172,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under63c2,247$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.0242842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over47c2,092$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.1293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f8…d85abacked Over73c1,922$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4001384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.25per pick60cpaid+52.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb240…df51backed Over66c1,526$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002025%5 W · 15 L-5.6wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-54.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over69c1,445$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.5352461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over75c1,297$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.8784443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over41c1,166$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.561,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under48c1,088$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.7669848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under72c1,056$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.851,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Over1c1,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1164517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75066352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over40c874.21$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.8646959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under49c830.52$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.5790650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under49c830.52$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.5763746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c807.04$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.211,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over12c804.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7931222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under30c637.1$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.7215644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b3b…07f7backed Under62c591.69$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.093850%19 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Over48c566.67$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27228838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xae8f…1cc3backed Over43c459.99$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.85446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under68c433.12$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.5111354.9%62 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x926d…f416backed Under64c432.12$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.94100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under27c423.64$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.2629243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under53c403.94$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.041,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over31c345.08$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4136051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over42c334.45$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.5460250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff26…a5ddbacked Under29c322.32$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.32475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick33cpaid+173.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over31c316.55$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1318557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under49c316.25$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.9455251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under49c314$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.1468838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc376…6850backed Under40c289.64$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+198.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Over42c285.23$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.3720946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fac…637ebacked Over72c266.1$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over59c248.77$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.8164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Under27c248$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.043964.1%25 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.21per pick44cpaid+56.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over43c242.28$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1852861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over36c241.36$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9330551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under35c233.53$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.4632654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under57c225.9$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6325045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under50c200.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1666046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda54…b8a1backed Over72c200$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1431361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+35%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Over20c193.2$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6435532.4%115 W · 240 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over36c191$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.211,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under49c187.89$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.1915044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under66c187.03$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1730842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under54c186.88$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1422753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb69d…7678backed Under28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.57742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+42.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x803a…d56abacked Over43c175.01$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1350%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under53c163.01$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0153842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over35c151.84$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6121953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under48c150.2$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.645251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1413…4bddbacked Over73c148.74$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10911259.8%67 W · 45 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-13.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Over68c147.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008540%34 W · 51 L-16.2wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-35.4%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Under28c141$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5243052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under32c138$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8478639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under29c136.76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.125352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under28c133.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.5819959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over37c132.08$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.389048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under45c129$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9952053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Under47c125$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.256152.5%32 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over38c112.44$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4915648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under43c110$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.71,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over35c108.32$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8859255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Over52c105.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5530452.6%160 W · 144 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under68c105$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0227245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa8f…fd07backed Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.042441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55da…74efbacked Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over75c96$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7226755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc6…84f8backed Over73c90$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under62c90$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0845445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9762…73fbbacked Under70c88.26$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.581172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cec…d3abbacked Over75c88.2$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under27c86.48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1318653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe046…9bc6backed Over35c86.44$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.614961.2%30 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under27c84.91$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.91,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Under40c83.63$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3117237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under52c82$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3419548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under66c78.76$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7865872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbdca…5382backed Under37c78.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.35450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+44.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under60c76.25$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3518235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Under48c66.48$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5718651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Under65c62$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.71172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under27c60$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.825954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Over34c57.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.737154.9%39 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a65…5864backed Over50c56.16$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282548%12 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under50c55.61$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6931953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x165d…a4d5backed Over35c54.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.154161%25 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1026…e794backed Over36c53.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.134161%25 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe692…05e8backed Under28c53.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.571533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e0e…704abacked Over36c53.21$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.124360.5%26 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04ed…0adfbacked Over36c53.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.124158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c6…85b9backed Over34c49.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171717.6%3 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-62.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over72c46.57$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.431,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2ca…870dbacked Over36c45.47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.551464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over34c43.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9125150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.