TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,020
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,384

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,020 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over49c5,570$2,730 inLost-$2,729.5420155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e0f…4790backed Under51c4,140$2,112 inWon+$2,028.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under52c1,281$665 inWon+$615.482,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d0b…7f60backed Over47c1,242$581 inLost-$580.950%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over49c1,231$598 inLost-$597.6456646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under51c1,036$528 inWon+$507.751,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under55c1,009$559 inWon+$450.3327052.6%142 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over44c954.36$422 inLost-$421.84,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Over46c728.81$335 inLost-$335.2565762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cbc…1d39backed Under54c557.59$300 inWon+$257.5911850.8%60 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb7f…56bdbacked Under55c356.84$196 inWon+$160.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over45c300$135 inLost-$13518235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Under54c242.04$130 inWon+$112.0422844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over49c199.99$98 inLost-$981,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over47c120.6$56 inLost-$56.161,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over48c112.5$54 inLost-$549748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Under54c110$59 inWon+$51.137253.5%199 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb82…0675backed Over47c106.02$50 inLost-$49.834645.7%21 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over47c100$47 inLost-$4718150.3%91 W · 90 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under79c99.59$79 inWon+$20.4925045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b6e…b1a7backed Under55c90.91$50 inWon+$40.914759.6%28 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd729…7ef2backed Under55c83.75$46 inWon+$37.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over48c72.92$35 inLost-$359949.5%49 W · 50 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4057…3e70backed Over47c63.83$30 inLost-$305947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under51c60.88$31 inWon+$29.8355444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over46c60$28 inLost-$27.615044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e2d…8a1dbacked Under61c59.38$36 inWon+$23.167100%7 W · 0 L+3.3wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+141.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8a88…3dadbacked Over45c53.75$24 inLost-$24.192454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over48c50.33$24 inLost-$24.2684443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x499c…2f8ebacked Under56c44.64$25 inWon+$19.645251.9%27 W · 25 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-21.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x25ed…3e98backed Under56c44.64$25 inWon+$19.649151.6%47 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Under55c40$22 inWon+$1828943.3%125 W · 164 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdca…5382backed Over45c32.71$15 inLost-$14.72450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+44.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over46c30$14 inLost-$13.833556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under58c30$17 inWon+$12.63,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5407…5bbdbacked Over46c25$12 inLost-$11.53548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over46c23.35$11 inLost-$10.747437.8%28 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.