TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,526
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,513

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,526 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x584f…54b9backed Yes49c2,369$1,161 inWon+$1,207.523964.1%25 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.21per pick44cpaid+56.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No50c1,001$502 inLost-$502.2933049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No51c533.19$272 inLost-$271.9325753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked No51c500$255 inLost-$25524949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes52c299.99$156 inWon+$14456050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No51c294.12$150 inLost-$1501,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No48c276.9$133 inLost-$133.372,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x816c…ac2cbacked No51c266.59$136 inLost-$135.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes49c221.21$109 inWon+$111.8319959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No45c174.54$78 inLost-$78.0585449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9abc…636abacked Yes54c161.37$87 inWon+$74.231844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb0e…90a1backed Yes54c100$54 inWon+$462272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.7wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+44%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x804f…13abbacked Yes57c88.07$50 inWon+$38.074942.9%21 W · 28 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xddbc…28c3backed Yes51c59.2$30 inWon+$29.25759.6%34 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed No48c52.08$25 inLost-$2566046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes50c51.17$25 inWon+$25.7253842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed No51c50$25 inLost-$25.454030%12 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0654…f5a9backed No51c39.22$20 inLost-$209451.1%48 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x802e…76fdbacked Yes71c35.55$25 inWon+$10.385887.9%51 W · 7 L+13.6wins+0.24per pick64cpaid+35.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xc78b…5c76backed No48c31.25$15 inLost-$155736.8%21 W · 36 L-9.1wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-30.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No63c28$18 inLost-$17.6445445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed No52c20.95$11 inLost-$10.8857650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.