TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,897
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$143,005

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,897 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c38,852$19,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,426.011,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Over50c24,380$12,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,1978451.2%43 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Over50c12,411$6,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,205.512245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under17c9,200$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.7156646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under28c8,099$2,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,282.641,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over71c6,103$4,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,790.488,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over71c5,753$4,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.721,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under38c2,013$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.682,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over72c1,938$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.662259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under47c1,334$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.4164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Under10c1,138$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7610146.5%47 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+217.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Under36c1,100$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39712451.6%64 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over54c1,023$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.522,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over49c1,023$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.569848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Over74c1,002$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.372927.6%8 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-46.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c1,000$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.282,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Under11c854.55$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908641.9%36 W · 50 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Over66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.5821574.4%160 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under25c738.34$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.5718235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x45b5…2d74backed Over50c580$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2906543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x051d…1992backed Over60c436$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17614330.8%44 W · 99 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8081…95cabacked Under12c427.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.321711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-45.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under45c321.5$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.751,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over64c306.45$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.6623652.5%124 W · 112 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6de6…d900backed Over72c300$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851580%12 W · 3 L+5.2wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+106.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5894…c28ebacked Under14c274.84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.29333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Over76c233.27$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.411471.4%10 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick75cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under42c205.02$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.396636.4%24 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa596…15e9backed Over60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808246.3%38 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x782c…38c2backed Over70c199.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606555.4%36 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under52c194.08$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9292750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa8f…fd07backed Under28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb97b…87dcbacked Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under11c171.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1119959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over61c166.96$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5660250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under41c165.79$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.555251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under27c149$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9437652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32f2…7830backed Over80c122.94$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.191931.6%6 W · 13 L-4.6wins-0.24per pick56cpaid-49.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under20c122.13$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2676054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under45c120.55$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.762,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under38c116.64$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8232654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over58c107.98$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.351,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeae4…9cdbbacked Under11c104.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under14c102.39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3315644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe23e…34d2backed Over76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6736243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc314…3501backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.51435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over57c94.33$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5689048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Under33c91.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over54c90.4$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5852861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.755253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over51c82.8$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6312150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2534…3484backed Over61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.971338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06de…cf4cbacked Under34c76.3$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.92937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Over72c74.35$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1115662.8%98 W · 58 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed Over65c72.32$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.121560%9 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick75cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb238…4961backed Under51c72.03$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.742832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed Over69c71.01$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.015850%29 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed30…789dbacked Over60c70$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+129.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under43c66.97$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.815044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1992…30e2backed Under30c65.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.665839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over60c63.76$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3421953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.563746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Over80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108320.5%17 W · 66 L-7.9wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-49.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x94ce…edf2backed Over49c49.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over61c49.66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2559255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over61c48.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7715648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0d…21a9backed Over63c47.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.391957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc4b…0da9backed Over65c45.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.864658.7%27 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+11.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb7b…9825backed Under26c40.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.792378.3%18 W · 5 L+4.8wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+52.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6e07…e837backed Over80c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81650%8 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9559…4913backed Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201225%3 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-52.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2546…d582backed Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over74c37.77$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.949956.6%56 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe046…9bc6backed Over60c36.43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.484961.2%30 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4c8…34efbacked Under51c33.16$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.86944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9689…7bb3backed Over65c30.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.852100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+106.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18d2…e9c3backed Over79c30.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.314577.8%35 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1271752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Under34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.211555.7%64 W · 51 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Under43c25.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2766732.4%216 W · 451 L+41.8wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-3.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e0e…704abacked Over59c23.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.424360.5%26 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x165d…a4d5backed Over60c22.77$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.054161%25 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1026…e794backed Over60c22.77$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.054161%25 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04ed…0adfbacked Over60c22.77$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.054158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee9…f7acbacked Over70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610150.5%51 W · 50 L+10.1wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd4ce…41acbacked Under51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2825%2 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-55.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf0c…ee9abacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dee…9f2cbacked Over69c17.42$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.421770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+43.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xebf6…c629backed Over71c17.24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over71c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6419548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.