TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,241
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,643

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,241 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs62c12,017$7,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,450.7664948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Spurs61c11,199$6,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,831.1172648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Spurs33c11,032$3,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,622.36141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Knicks38c10,526$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,526.3117249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Knicks70c9,060$6,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,686.6830551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs37c8,647$3,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,193.668,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks52c6,289$3,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,005.821,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs34c4,957$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.9442842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks39c4,600$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,817.896,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs62c4,185$2,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,594.725352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Knicks39c2,564$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.12441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Knicks38c2,519$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.532,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks68c2,380$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.662,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Spurs40c1,595$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.2255251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Knicks25c1,410$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.199956.6%56 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks37c1,265$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.9293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Spurs68c1,221$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.2812652.4%66 W · 60 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks38c1,108$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.0152150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Knicks51c1,075$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.1963746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Knicks51c1,070$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.2990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf70b…5166backed Spurs62c1,055$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.082,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed Knicks39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6103878.9%30 W · 8 L+13.2wins+0.35per pick44cpaid+73.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x84c6…618abacked Knicks40c999.99$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Spurs54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9910049%49 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks38c999.97$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.9866352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Spurs52c979.94$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.0918235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…5d22backed Knicks58c963.41$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs51c947.41$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.681,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs49c895.38$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.3453842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Knicks33c857$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.0845445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Spurs62c806.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50044052.5%231 W · 209 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Spurs69c792.06$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.436051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Knicks39c720.18$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.318848.9%43 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs22c636$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.731,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Knicks32c560.75$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.311,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Knicks49c556.84$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.9920946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Spurs54c499.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9962948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks38c498.52$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.081,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f44…9303backed Spurs62c483.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Knicks38c466.13$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28919959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Spurs69c460.67$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.8746959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2bf…04d7backed Knicks39c426.54$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.481275%9 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+71.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Spurs59c405.75$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.6627152%141 W · 130 L-17.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks38c400$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2481,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Spurs62c395$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.949852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Knicks45c379.68$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.2432654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Spurs68c370.75$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.9425150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks38c359.78$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.061,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Knicks37c343.82$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.8225045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks32c329.96$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.191,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Knicks71c324$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.021,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Spurs26c308.08$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8630842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Knicks38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18610747.7%51 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Spurs15c287.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.276653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Spurs5c257.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.039157.1%52 W · 39 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce00…7d1dbacked Knicks39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.415860.3%35 W · 23 L+8.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+28.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked Knicks39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4110745.8%49 W · 58 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Spurs37c254.68$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3452053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Knicks67c254.14$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.731,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs43c252.2$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9568838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Knicks47c247.78$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.1915044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…dea7backed Knicks39c247.08$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Spurs48c242.88$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.582,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fdb…6404backed Knicks44c227.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.5753141.8%222 W · 309 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks52c227.38$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7760250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Spurs44c226.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004560%27 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05bc…f3ebbacked Knicks41c218.15$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.71425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Knicks38c211.5$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.131,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Spurs62c208$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.964047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf59b…7ab0backed Knicks39c205.13$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.131741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Knicks60c203.1$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8452861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Spurs48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9689444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef5a…492abacked Spurs62c199.68$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.81369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Knicks79c189.68$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.831,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e9…d0a8backed Spurs36c187.89$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.64771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+164.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Knicks38c180.18$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7160049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Knicks34c179.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.998929.2%26 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f18…9cdbbacked Spurs28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Spurs62c177.42$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Spurs27c173.23$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4517237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ef…b630backed Spurs11c172.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.652615.4%4 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ded…3350backed Spurs62c164$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.682642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Knicks39c161$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.2121147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs39c158.73$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.581,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Knicks73c157.98$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9321953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcc6…095fbacked Knicks39c155$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5510545.7%48 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Knicks32c153$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.041,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Knicks70c145.43$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9515648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd2c…ae0abacked Spurs62c138.56$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.911353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Spurs57c134.88$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.862144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Spurs28c130.46$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9227245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x938a…e0edbacked Spurs61c130$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.35352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x872c…6db0backed Knicks39c127.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.02955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Knicks66c127.15$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7778639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93e1…272fbacked Spurs62c126.54$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.451346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a6a…8329backed Knicks39c124.67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.05850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf45d…fc79backed Knicks39c119.46$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.87977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+48%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2038…b0e7backed Knicks39c115.67$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.561154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Knicks39c109.44$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7684443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.