TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,061
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,026

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,061 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over42c8,095$3,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,677.3841842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under58c6,432$3,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,730.3951045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Over42c5,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.9729146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Under58c3,270$1,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,896.750049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over42c2,222$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.7622946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under51c1,502$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.071,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under54c1,457$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.213,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04e3…69d1backed Under58c1,400$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.991533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-42.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under58c1,293$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75010663.2%67 W · 39 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Under3c1,250$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5238.7%2 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over41c1,100$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.9926154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Under57c1,090$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.2831148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Under59c1,075$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.995255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over41c995.93$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.613841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over44c969.88$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.557152.1%37 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under59c958.82$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.71,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over35c932.93$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.2489355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Under4c800$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301414.3%2 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick4cpaid+150%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under4c800$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30120%0 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked Under4c800$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Under58c714.09$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.179757.7%56 W · 41 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Under51c696.94$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.572951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over42c599.98$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.9976950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c575.08$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.632,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under58c505.69$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.328749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over42c445.97$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.5450251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Over57c424.79$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.1914151.8%73 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under57c421.22$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.0911833.1%39 W · 79 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over42c408.55$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.961,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb5…b009backed Under58c394.89$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.042755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over42c380$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.433554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d8…0175backed Under4c300$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1130%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over60c273.74$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.262,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under69c264$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.8851343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over41c251.56$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.4238147.2%180 W · 201 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over46c232.55$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.5814045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under29c199.65$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7429533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9342…4d78backed Over19c175$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.751947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2af…e3bcbacked Under58c170.59$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.942458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over29c169.18$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.121,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Under59c165.32$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.54560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+73%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Under60c162.67$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.66371.4%45 W · 18 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46f3…8b96backed Over43c153.67$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.592100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over64c145.75$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7661848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under65c136$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3992049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Under29c130.86$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.54496.1%3 W · 46 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick18cpaid-42.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed Under54c130$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.211946.2%55 W · 64 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under9c126.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3431448.7%153 W · 161 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617a…07f8backed Under58c114.29$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2950%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under54c106.12$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.318453.8%99 W · 85 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5cf…c503backed Over41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5913749.6%68 W · 69 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd53b…fc94backed Under66c99.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.995650%28 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce1…a25dbacked Under59c97.54$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.557364.4%47 W · 26 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fe2…6829backed Under59c97.54$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under61c84.54$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9134547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe574…1b45backed Under58c84.03$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.742454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fd3…bd04backed Under58c83.62$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.752751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41c5…0b24backed Under58c83.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.755558.2%32 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb91…f1edbacked Under59c81.83$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.281464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Under38c80.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6325345.5%115 W · 138 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Under48c80.63$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.588648.8%42 W · 44 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Under50c79.23$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8412045.8%55 W · 65 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over38c78.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9415051.3%77 W · 73 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c76…2632backed Under55c77.84$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.998850%44 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7795…2db2backed Under59c76.44$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3995…88c2backed Under60c73.86$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.11250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Under58c69.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.315255.8%29 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Over40c66.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.349944.4%44 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over65c61.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.46656.1%37 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3320350.7%103 W · 100 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over46c59.31$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.131,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee2d…ba67backed Under58c58.82$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.121758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Under58c58.49$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.929647.9%46 W · 50 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under28c58.34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3335551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c08…af98backed Under59c58.14$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1333756.4%190 W · 147 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0eb…af1ebacked Over42c50.56$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3217227.3%47 W · 125 L-17.4wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-34.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7a3d…9351backed Under58c50.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.241747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Over43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.545069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3b46…fd16backed Under59c49.58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.262657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+23.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under32c48.91$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.611,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over31c45.51$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.517456.3%98 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Over31c45.21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.196056.7%34 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x880b…90a8backed Over42c44.83$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033c…b4afbacked Under58c42.16$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.452080%16 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd2a…8dbdbacked Under58c42.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.372147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under53c40.39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.478562.4%53 W · 32 L+6.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0570…5200backed Over35c39.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.711070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Under58c38.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.623554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd281…d824backed Over43c37.06$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1210033%33 W · 67 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Over36c34.61$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.324557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Under58c33.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.36251.6%32 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7770…f99bbacked Under59c31.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.464856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over44c30.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.226743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over49c30.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4482353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x595c…3b03backed Under53c29.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.451450%7 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bd…e48fbacked Under57c27.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7440%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ea8…adbabacked Under58c25.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.624862.5%30 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cac…988ebacked Under59c24.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.635164.7%33 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7de…4a98backed Over45c24.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.22742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Under58c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.183941%16 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.