TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Sabres (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Sabresof Sabres, Bruins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,565
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,659

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,565 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa974…ef79backed Sabres29c1,946$557 inWon+$1,388.4110743%46 W · 61 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sabres34c1,793$601 inWon+$1,192.022,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bruins70c1,406$984 inLost-$984.071,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Bruins71c1,356$962 inLost-$962.4117761.6%109 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Bruins26c654.48$172 inLost-$172.122,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Bruins69c566.28$391 inLost-$390.7338551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Sabres72c347$250 inWon+$97.1611833.1%39 W · 79 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Bruins69c284.46$196 inLost-$196.283429.4%10 W · 24 L-8.4wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-46.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Bruins71c271.53$193 inLost-$192.7833652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Bruins72c259.35$187 inLost-$186.7328749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Sabres30c180$54 inWon+$1263154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Sabres35c175.16$61 inWon+$1142,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e11…e1f5backed Bruins69c170.68$118 inLost-$117.77714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-81.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Sabres65c153.56$100 inWon+$53.877642.1%32 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Bruins17c151.08$26 inLost-$25.681,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Bruins69c147.21$102 inLost-$101.578345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Sabres63c139.52$88 inWon+$51.6235551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bac…f1a6backed Bruins72c136.56$98 inLost-$98.322962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Bruins71c133.35$95 inLost-$95.150251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ca…c93abacked Bruins10c122.98$12 inLost-$12.31457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xccfa…6ee7backed Sabres29c95.74$28 inWon+$67.982441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2801…ebdcbacked Bruins13c80.2$10 inLost-$10.435749.1%28 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Bruins15c66.67$10 inLost-$1047024%113 W · 357 L-44.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Sabres30c60$18 inWon+$4222250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Sabres38c41.68$16 inWon+$25.8525345.5%115 W · 138 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.