NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ad8c6f8a043df062d84a47c389d2c489a942a8e4ab0f2fe3f4c21402078ff28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 39c | 6,412$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.64 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Over | 61c | 3,977$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.87 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 46c | 3,500$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 54c | 3,087$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.19 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Over | 61c | 2,705$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.9 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 1,349$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.11 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 54c | 1,076$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.79 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 1,061$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.02 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 1,004$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.96 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Over | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Under | 47c | 800.25$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.12 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 56c | 766.21$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.38 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Over | 57c | 577.68$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 60c | 472.18$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.87 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…76b4backed Over | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 39c | 300.13$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.05 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 53c | 298.57$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.31 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Over | 54c | 291.72$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.19 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 287.25$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.87 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Under | 45c | 262.19$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.26 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 47c | 256.81$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.7 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Under | 40c | 240.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 55c | 225.56$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 152 | 65.1%99 W · 53 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Over | 53c | 225.23$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.86 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Under | 40c | 209.72$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.89 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 47c | 202.35$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.11 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +12.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…1ef3backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 53c | 192.92$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.39 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Under | 47c | 185.85$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.35 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 45c | 185.17$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.13 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Over | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +73%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Under | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -7.6wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 48c | 139.58$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 44c | 110.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Over | 55c | 101.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed Under | 46c | 97.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 45c | 89.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Over | 54c | 89.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 52c | 89.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…1b45backed Over | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…c85abacked Over | 54c | 86.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…f041backed Over | 62c | 78.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 64c | 71.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Under | 46c | 69.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 46c | 64.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 62c | 63.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 53c | 59.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 47c | 48.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…517abacked Over | 56c | 48.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Under | 46c | 46.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 54c | 42.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Under | 39c | 41.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Under | 41c | 39.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a3…2e00backed Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 53c | 35.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 45c | 31.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 54c | 19.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 71c | 19.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 65c | 16.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 72c | 15.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7de…4a98backed Over | 74c | 14.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5this page
- Sabres vs. BruinsSabres won
- Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)Sabres won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.