TailMyPicks
Market

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Ducks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Avalanche, Ducks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,098
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,614

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,098 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6a8…5009backed Ducks30c6,462$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920.441,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Ducks39c5,242$2,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,057.675149%25 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Avalanche57c5,001$2,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,163.7685148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Ducks32c3,529$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.4335545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Ducks1c2,776$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.987450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Ducks29c2,219$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.9332331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Ducks32c2,124$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.961,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5b…50c9backed Ducks26c1,575$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.94837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick21cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Ducks30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9731849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42e8…9d10backed Avalanche67c1,499$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.211442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcede…d9ebbacked Avalanche62c1,435$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.28666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Avalanche69c1,281$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.446149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87a2…ff5dbacked Ducks35c1,259$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Avalanche67c790.43$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.849747.4%46 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91db…9b6ebacked Ducks35c718.79$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d6b…1906backed Avalanche68c718.66$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d6…1c32backed Avalanche58c662.14$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.831258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Ducks36c617.61$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22219438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d92…4b39backed Avalanche45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3302744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56c0…72d9backed Avalanche68c561.07$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Ducks21c545.05$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.0814012.9%18 W · 122 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Avalanche67c521.26$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.451,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Ducks31c503.28$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.7919150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Avalanche68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Avalanche70c496.35$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.354463.6%28 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12cd…ab49backed Ducks22c466.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03e3…08e0backed Avalanche71c423.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.451776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14066951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc26f…7055backed Avalanche64c400$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1462373.9%17 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x105e…4741backed Ducks21c352.24$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.971020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-64.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed Ducks31c346.34$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.363842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Ducks32c342.43$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5111445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfc2…9d4fbacked Avalanche64c338.8$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Avalanche64c314.91$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.919554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Avalanche69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Ducks30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9029847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f7d…4feabacked Avalanche69c287.76$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Avalanche65c261.15$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.42842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Ducks38c260.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006437.5%24 W · 40 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Ducks31c254.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0572444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Ducks20c229.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468633.7%29 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb5…b365backed Ducks36c215.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.781861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Avalanche40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12020540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09a7…c75abacked Ducks33c172.73$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf003…b000backed Ducks34c170.58$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe78d…b76abacked Ducks33c166.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf25d…f21cbacked Avalanche67c159.01$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.476100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc414…f1e8backed Ducks40c151.88$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-55.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Avalanche66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518052.5%42 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e1…adf1backed Ducks32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Avalanche69c147.83$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.834158.5%24 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb5…f8d5backed Avalanche70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.866100%6 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4202…9611backed Avalanche71c141.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.136959.4%41 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95ba…4b34backed Ducks33c133.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Ducks32c132.31$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8523144.6%103 W · 128 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8a…8d25backed Ducks34c129.41$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Avalanche70c125.71$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7122246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e23…51c3backed Ducks33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-32.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7126…3c82backed Avalanche67c117.8$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.87683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+41.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x48b5…0effbacked Ducks34c117.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa0…eeb9backed Avalanche66c116.66$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.66683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+58.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Avalanche61c109.49$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.77444.6%33 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x906e…99b5backed Avalanche66c109.09$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.09520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-69.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd52f…5302backed Avalanche66c109.09$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.09540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a8b…c2d0backed Avalanche72c107.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.652748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe344…456dbacked Avalanche67c107.46$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.46450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Avalanche66c106.06$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.069665.6%63 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x047a…2521backed Avalanche67c105.97$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0622…3acdbacked Ducks59c103.37$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd39a…4b40backed Ducks34c102.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-47.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1382…794abacked Ducks37c102.7$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Avalanche65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Avalanche68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3216554.5%90 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x581d…24c3backed Ducks39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.791471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+39.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ab1…a4e2backed Ducks32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.71050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Avalanche68c99.95$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.991,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Ducks30c98.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6981846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7e09…fc91backed Avalanche68c98.65$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.573756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1174…d708backed Avalanche67c94.02$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.03580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Avalanche63c85$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.473157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf74…6f5cbacked Avalanche67c82.09$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.09742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a1…aa8abacked Ducks38c79.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Avalanche46c75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2530155.1%166 W · 135 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5bf…42a9backed Avalanche67c74.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.62757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6afa…8f06backed Ducks21c72.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.331323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-46%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefb4…9653backed Avalanche70c71.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.781154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac29…fa88backed Avalanche70c71.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.52860.7%17 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3758…7e20backed Avalanche70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.433268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c67…59c0backed Avalanche70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.431376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1625…dfc0backed Ducks21c68.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.51728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf59f…3be9backed Avalanche70c67.86$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.363455.9%19 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cf4…ed97backed Ducks32c65.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec94…0897backed Avalanche66c63.63$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.63757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Ducks35c63.43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.228542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7661…42dbbacked Avalanche66c62.12$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.12650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x540d…5221backed Avalanche75c61.46$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x562f…fb89backed Avalanche66c60.6$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9f…4f74backed Ducks31c58.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.52944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Avalanche67c58.43$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1484051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed Avalanche69c57.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.977950.6%40 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.