NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b91d17766497d669e0d9312ad7175ef0386a0af2e78537ef4e613a1927eae63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Pelicans, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $345,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $405,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $345,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 373 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pelicans | 16c | 27,590$4,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,534.28 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…01dabacked Heat | 77c | 20,844$16,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,752.51 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Pelicans | 22c | 14,730$3,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,251.3 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Pelicans | 23c | 12,625$2,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,842.08 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Pelicans | 21c | 11,932$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.46 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e6…45a6backed Pelicans | 0c | 10,724$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Pelicans | 20c | 9,735$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.79 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Pelicans | 12c | 9,281$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.09 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pelicans | 0c | 8,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Pelicans | 22c | 7,264$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.77 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Pelicans | 17c | 6,564$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.5 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Pelicans | 23c | 6,381$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.6 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…f7d7backed Pelicans | 23c | 6,315$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.45 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans | 23c | 5,444$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.23 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pelicans | 18c | 5,100$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x877b…83f1backed Heat | 79c | 5,068$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.43 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Pelicans | 22c | 4,047$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.38 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…15d2backed Heat | 78c | 3,939$3,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…b2a6backed Pelicans | 22c | 3,908$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Heat | 79c | 3,137$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.04 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Heat | 78c | 3,077$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.92 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…85a3backed Pelicans | 22c | 2,975$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf00…0c1abacked Heat | 78c | 2,937$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Heat | 78c | 2,908$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.75 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pelicans | 20c | 2,832$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.09 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Heat | 77c | 2,527$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.13 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Pelicans | 1c | 2,215$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…113dbacked Heat | 79c | 2,010$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.07 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pelicans | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.52 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Pelicans | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Pelicans | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Pelicans | 21c | 1,947$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.85 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc206…e084backed Heat | 78c | 1,744$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.59 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pelicans | 20c | 1,729$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.91 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Pelicans | 19c | 1,653$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.07 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Pelicans | 21c | 1,450$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Heat | 78c | 1,402$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.62 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Pelicans | 13c | 1,264$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.83 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Pelicans | 12c | 1,215$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.84 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…8ec8backed Pelicans | 21c | 1,200$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…9da7backed Pelicans | 24c | 1,196$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Pelicans | 20c | 1,120$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Heat | 77c | 1,108$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.79 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29e4…252fbacked Heat | 77c | 1,100$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x206e…14dfbacked Pelicans | 22c | 1,100$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4b…4a75backed Pelicans | 24c | 1,064$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.39 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Pelicans | 15c | 1,038$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.2 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Heat | 77c | 1,004$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.01 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Heat | 76c | 1,000$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.01 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Pelicans | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Heat | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Heat | 80c | 1,000$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Pelicans | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Pelicans | 21c | 999.96$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Heat | 78c | 951.11$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.84 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13db…f487backed Heat | 77c | 888.81$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +181.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Heat | 79c | 886.08$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.08 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pelicans | 21c | 812.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.34 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Heat | 78c | 805.64$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.24 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…c364backed Pelicans | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Pelicans | 23c | 723.2$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Pelicans | 14c | 715$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292d…2c8dbacked Heat | 77c | 702.45$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.56 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…84bbbacked Pelicans | 23c | 640.78$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5b…418dbacked Heat | 78c | 638.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c46…3e5cbacked Heat | 77c | 628.57$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.57 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Pelicans | 20c | 611.25$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.76 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Pelicans | 21c | 608.7$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.29 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Pelicans | 23c | 600$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Pelicans | 22c | 596.47$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.72 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans | 8c | 594.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Pelicans | 23c | 584.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.55 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbef…c32bbacked Heat | 79c | 570.42$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pelicans | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Heat | 79c | 500$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84a…91f1backed Pelicans | 22c | 490$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Pelicans | 22c | 486.11$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.94 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Pelicans | 22c | 465.83$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.54 | 269 | 33.5%90 W · 179 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Pelicans | 6c | 461.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed Pelicans | 23c | 451.34$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.81 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Pelicans | 19c | 449.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Pelicans | 22c | 444$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Pelicans | 22c | 436$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54b…d268backed Heat | 77c | 430.44$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7387…6345backed Heat | 78c | 416.86$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.75 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7406…6a28backed Pelicans | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…7374backed Heat | 77c | 413.36$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.07 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Heat | 78c | 387.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0f…7305backed Pelicans | 21c | 385.59$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900d…2961backed Heat | 78c | 321$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.62 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Heat | 77c | 301.18$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.27 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdadc…15fcbacked Heat | 77c | 285.71$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.71 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Pelicans | 17c | 280.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Heat | 77c | 279.52$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.52 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd09…4198backed Heat | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Pelicans | 27c | 250.58$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…a865backed Heat | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Pelicans | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Pelicans | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…9d07backed Heat | 78c | 229.87$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.57 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.