NFL · resolved market
Falcons vs. Raiders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd89d6ed8eef40a72238766a85634e22e205e164d12bb2754089e5a3b3799e08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Falconsof Falcons, Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,210,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,366,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,210,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 472 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Falcons | 78c | 296,160$230,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,303.64 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Raiders | 10c | 122,590$12,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,523.07 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Raiders | 27c | 101,409$27,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,372.34 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Falcons | 75c | 84,004$62,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,321.68 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Raiders | 28c | 76,212$21,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,688.73 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Falcons | 78c | 61,204$47,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,678.4 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Raiders | 11c | 54,491$6,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,127.01 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Raiders | 27c | 49,578$13,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,342.05 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raiders | 18c | 48,987$8,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,817.35 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Raiders | 23c | 36,568$8,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,582.45 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Raiders | 28c | 32,500$8,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,964.95 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Raiders | 23c | 30,373$6,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,862.4 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e3…1b7ebacked Falcons | 78c | 29,637$23,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,637.4 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Raiders | 27c | 26,003$6,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,960.9 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Falcons | 72c | 23,450$16,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,570.85 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Falcons | 71c | 14,001$9,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,055.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1434…bb9abacked Raiders | 31c | 12,903$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Falcons | 69c | 12,304$8,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,774.26 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Raiders | 22c | 12,233$2,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702.02 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Raiders | 14c | 11,010$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.18 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Raiders | 20c | 11,000$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…69a4backed Raiders | 19c | 10,893$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…78ddbacked Raiders | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe502…4924backed Raiders | 31c | 9,218$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,857.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1647…2187backed Raiders | 28c | 8,921$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb296…07babacked Raiders | 26c | 8,888$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Raiders | 13c | 8,760$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.57 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Raiders | 29c | 8,000$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.96 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Falcons | 70c | 7,434$5,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238.02 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9e…7928backed Falcons | 70c | 6,395$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf001…4e7cbacked Falcons | 73c | 5,742$4,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Raiders | 21c | 5,513$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.99 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Raiders | 20c | 5,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3c…b2c1backed Raiders | 23c | 5,471$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.26 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Raiders | 25c | 5,404$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.82 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Raiders | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Falcons | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb173…ed42backed Raiders | 14c | 4,896$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.99 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3232…b62ebacked Falcons | 73c | 4,795$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Raiders | 35c | 4,774$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.99 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Falcons | 70c | 4,670$3,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.06 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Falcons | 71c | 4,645$3,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.46 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Falcons | 71c | 3,952$2,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.13 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Raiders | 13c | 3,947$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.41 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Raiders | 27c | 3,777$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.27 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Raiders | 27c | 3,700$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Raiders | 18c | 3,540$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.11 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f44…3ae9backed Raiders | 30c | 3,095$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.44 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…ccb7backed Falcons | 70c | 3,086$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Falcons | 73c | 3,056$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.16 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Raiders | 31c | 2,868$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.28 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Raiders | 28c | 2,857$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…2270backed Falcons | 74c | 2,689$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.23 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…ae23backed Raiders | 15c | 2,624$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Raiders | 5c | 2,575$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.31 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e2…4693backed Raiders | 29c | 2,413$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Raiders | 20c | 2,398$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.2 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Raiders | 7c | 2,379$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.27 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Raiders | 23c | 1,854$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.17 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…74bbbacked Raiders | 22c | 1,739$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.93 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e68…a74dbacked Falcons | 73c | 1,644$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Falcons | 70c | 1,536$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.71 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Falcons | 73c | 1,528$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.21 | 127 | 60.6%77 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Falcons | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Raiders | 30c | 1,473$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.62 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Raiders | 17c | 1,343$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.5 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Raiders | 34c | 1,263$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.98 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Falcons | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a3…d687backed Raiders | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Raiders | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raiders | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…3d45backed Raiders | 6c | 953.38$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12cd…ab49backed Raiders | 2c | 929.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Raiders | 3c | 797.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…902bbacked Falcons | 73c | 755.56$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.56 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Falcons | 75c | 750$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Falcons | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 162 | 75.3%122 W · 40 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd542…08abbacked Raiders | 5c | 700$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Raiders | 29c | 679.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Falcons | 70c | 667$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.1 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…fe58backed Falcons | 75c | 636.89$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8be7backed Raiders | 16c | 621.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1efa…6a86backed Falcons | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Falcons | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…09f1backed Raiders | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Falcons | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Raiders | 26c | 500$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Raiders | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dda…8b1ebacked Falcons | 66c | 475.33$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.61 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf573…de66backed Falcons | 70c | 471.28$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x572c…e961backed Raiders | 30c | 470$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd716…649ebacked Falcons | 71c | 459.25$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Raiders | 30c | 444$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Falcons | 70c | 422.86$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.86 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd2…d60fbacked Falcons | 67c | 417.91$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.91 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Raiders | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf6…63a7backed Falcons | 73c | 387.67$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5199…382bbacked Raiders | 16c | 380.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Falcons | 71c | 378.87$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.87 | 71 | 77.5%55 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Falcons | 71c | 376.37$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.15 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.