NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7747fcb7f34ce4c38b583f42c0d9a30c841b7aabe2fc7024d62f2fcbc505068
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Blues, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Blues | 10c | 3,568$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.79 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc57d…d9a4backed Lightning | 67c | 3,464$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.1 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1299…356ebacked Blues | 33c | 3,464$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1596…4361backed Lightning | 67c | 2,568$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.37 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +57%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a7…505bbacked Blues | 33c | 2,568$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.37 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…d7fcbacked Blues | 19c | 1,046$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Blues | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lightning | 69c | 1,000$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.62 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Blues | 32c | 999.69$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.9 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lightning | 80c | 952.95$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.59 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Blues | 33c | 872.88$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.05 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Blues | 2c | 776.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2746…edc4backed Blues | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…f342backed Lightning | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Blues | 31c | 586.02$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.67 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Blues | 23c | 499.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ad…12f4backed Lightning | 67c | 433.02$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…7704backed Blues | 33c | 433$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4d…07cbbacked Lightning | 67c | 408.93$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.95 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…03c5backed Blues | 33c | 408.93$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.95 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Blues | 32c | 393.56$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.94 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x957b…053fbacked Lightning | 67c | 388$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1662…8679backed Blues | 33c | 388$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…9ed1backed Blues | 33c | 370.02$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9c…abecbacked Lightning | 67c | 370$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa460…f9b9backed Lightning | 67c | 360.02$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.81 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3340…2700backed Blues | 33c | 360$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lightning | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.97 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…7055backed Lightning | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Lightning | 68c | 299.94$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.62 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Blues | 28c | 294.65$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.83 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4369…8525backed Blues | 33c | 288.01$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa747…c45abacked Lightning | 67c | 288$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Blues | 32c | 254.02$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.69 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lightning | 68c | 250$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lightning | 77c | 237.14$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Blues | 32c | 227.76$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Blues | 34c | 186.91$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blues | 9c | 183.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Blues | 32c | 166.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Lightning | 67c | 159.7$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Lightning | 68c | 157.35$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Blues | 12c | 137.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blues | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Blues | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Lightning | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Lightning | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Lightning | 66c | 99.97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Lightning | 68c | 95.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lightning | 66c | 89.65$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c1…a7cbbacked Lightning | 68c | 75.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b22…e36dbacked Lightning | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…9653backed Lightning | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe9…e00ebacked Lightning | 68c | 73.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Lightning | 67c | 67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Blues | 33c | 66.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Blues | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Lightning | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d15fbacked Lightning | 66c | 57.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33cf…684fbacked Blues | 33c | 52.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91c3…c4c2backed Blues | 33c | 51.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe6…5cf6backed Lightning | 68c | 51.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -41%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb180…e610backed Lightning | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…bf4ebacked Blues | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b96…8c3ebacked Lightning | 67c | 49.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x049d…9623backed Blues | 33c | 48.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf173…b2dfbacked Blues | 33c | 45.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f24…8781backed Blues | 33c | 44.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…2d44backed Lightning | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…daa4backed Lightning | 67c | 44.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7527…e1f9backed Blues | 33c | 43.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…32f2backed Blues | 31c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d36…062bbacked Blues | 31c | 42.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbf…5531backed Blues | 37c | 42.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb21e…7746backed Lightning | 67c | 42.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…e917backed Blues | 33c | 41.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7618…2129backed Blues | 33c | 39.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce9…1cdfbacked Lightning | 67c | 38.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73b6…cc51backed Lightning | 63c | 37.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Blues | 32c | 37.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9afb…36adbacked Lightning | 67c | 36.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66e…3430backed Lightning | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf2…4361backed Lightning | 66c | 36.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb041…cd21backed Lightning | 67c | 36.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe224…97bfbacked Lightning | 67c | 35.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33de…4e58backed Blues | 33c | 35.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…f4c7backed Blues | 33c | 35.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93aa…74eebacked Blues | 33c | 35.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7d…4948backed Lightning | 67c | 35.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bde…d1bbbacked Blues | 33c | 35.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebf…43afbacked Lightning | 67c | 34.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd3…e363backed Lightning | 67c | 34.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x835d…9dadbacked Blues | 33c | 34.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…8074backed Lightning | 67c | 34.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…cba5backed Blues | 33c | 33.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f38…027abacked Lightning | 67c | 33.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeef…0e93backed Lightning | 67c | 33.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2b…f507backed Lightning | 67c | 32.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…ca9cbacked Lightning | 67c | 32.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b9…4396backed Lightning | 68c | 32.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.