College Football · resolved market
SMU vs. Penn State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb3eacfbae18685b32e15f198634c7d2024ddca2a3b12affb7891e99a6815e13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penn Stateof SMU, Penn State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a6b…1262backed Penn State | 77c | 16,989$13,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,878.52 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked SMU | 2c | 12,360$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.62 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd54a…47b8backed SMU | 21c | 10,975$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed SMU | 15c | 5,306$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.43 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed SMU | 25c | 3,211$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.62 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed SMU | 24c | 3,182$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.61 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed SMU | 24c | 3,136$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.9 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed SMU | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed SMU | 19c | 2,916$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.25 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x214d…8911backed SMU | 1c | 2,625$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed SMU | 1c | 2,519$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +743.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed SMU | 24c | 2,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed SMU | 30c | 2,431$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked SMU | 23c | 2,200$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.99 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…1eedbacked SMU | 1c | 2,133$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked SMU | 25c | 2,109$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.16 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Penn State | 76c | 2,044$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.44 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed SMU | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed SMU | 24c | 1,714$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.37 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Penn State | 76c | 1,458$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.86 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…8f06backed SMU | 24c | 1,400$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f05…8ad8backed Penn State | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 73cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed SMU | 24c | 1,237$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed SMU | 23c | 1,222$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Penn State | 76c | 1,053$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.74 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Penn State | 76c | 1,016$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Penn State | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc4…0bfdbacked Penn State | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed SMU | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9aa…efefbacked SMU | 24c | 999.97$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed Penn State | 76c | 830.69$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.33 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Penn State | 72c | 824.77$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.2 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…122fbacked SMU | 25c | 798.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…fe58backed Penn State | 76c | 744.31$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.63 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed SMU | 23c | 647.09$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.83 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked SMU | 14c | 602.84$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.11 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…004dbacked Penn State | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked SMU | 26c | 559.69$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Penn State | 77c | 554.55$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.55 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…b14abacked Penn State | 75c | 531.64$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.64 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e2…4693backed SMU | 24c | 499.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b4…5aabbacked Penn State | 77c | 499.96$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ec…2271backed Penn State | 76c | 473$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.52 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…e52fbacked Penn State | 76c | 443.88$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.53 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Penn State | 80c | 431.95$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.05 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5228…93eebacked Penn State | 76c | 426.05$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.98 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Penn State | 76c | 420$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked SMU | 36c | 419.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938a…a941backed Penn State | 77c | 406.88$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.58 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed SMU | 26c | 400$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…09c6backed Penn State | 76c | 399.99$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…a0e7backed Penn State | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb67…970abacked Penn State | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed SMU | 23c | 393.32$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.64 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +6.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Penn State | 74c | 375.26$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.57 | 80 | 78.8%63 W · 17 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed SMU | 11c | 369.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 52 | 9.6%5 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…3cf5backed SMU | 27c | 369.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…7055backed Penn State | 69c | 321.7$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.68 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed SMU | 23c | 309.79$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed SMU | 10c | 302.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed SMU | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed SMU | 24c | 299.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…2922backed Penn State | 79c | 299.01$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…3d45backed SMU | 27c | 297.52$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x233f…405ebacked Penn State | 77c | 290.38$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79a2…10ecbacked Penn State | 76c | 281.26$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed SMU | 26c | 273.28$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.82 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Penn State | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55f4…959cbacked SMU | 11c | 262.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87c5…4fa3backed Penn State | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked SMU | 24c | 255$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…7defbacked SMU | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked SMU | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked SMU | 24c | 249.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…1b90backed SMU | 25c | 220$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed SMU | 24c | 209.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…2f22backed SMU | 24c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Penn State | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa728…5a45backed SMU | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Penn State | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Penn State | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4baf…b22bbacked Penn State | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed SMU | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…95a2backed Penn State | 75c | 199.83$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…9c55backed Penn State | 75c | 166.67$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed SMU | 17c | 165.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked SMU | 18c | 159.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked SMU | 25c | 158$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Penn State | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…7602backed SMU | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d5c4backed SMU | 18c | 142.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…794abacked Penn State | 74c | 136.32$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed SMU | 25c | 132.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Penn State | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef3…c555backed Penn State | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…f21cbacked Penn State | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Penn State | 65c | 127.06$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed SMU | 37c | 126.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…e2d3backed Penn State | 76c | 125$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Penn State | 74c | 115.56$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.