TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Sharks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Sharks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,780
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,081

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,780 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked Sharks6c16,067$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.0392848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1250…fbdcbacked Sharks4c14,355$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.442347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Sharks29c4,848$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.0124546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Sharks5c3,282$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.4131334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Sharks12c3,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3701,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Sharks5c2,679$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9814949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3e…b656backed Golden Knights71c2,625$1,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.35742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed Sharks30c2,390$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Golden Knights70c2,222$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.595450%27 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Sharks27c1,773$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.1535545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Sharks28c1,759$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.3931849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Golden Knights72c1,500$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Golden Knights71c1,500$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.941,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Sharks1c1,287$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.647450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Sharks7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Sharks1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101031%1 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-97.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Golden Knights71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2907153.5%38 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe1a…2c0ebacked Golden Knights71c819.83$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.75771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+30.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c1b…cc3abacked Sharks29c815$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.35862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Sharks29c624.71$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.169153.8%49 W · 42 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Sharks28c524.21$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.781,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ec…2271backed Golden Knights71c475.97$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.69560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dec…c5b2backed Sharks14c425.81$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Sharks9c410$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.698744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0964…d727backed Golden Knights71c366.62$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.32757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d7b…d15ebacked Golden Knights71c352.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.11955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96e3…83d2backed Sharks29c344.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004647.8%22 W · 24 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+32.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Sharks9c314.57$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2819438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Sharks29c303.88$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8584051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f6…cce7backed Golden Knights71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.69633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-55.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda4f…e43bbacked Golden Knights72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.784852.1%25 W · 23 L-6.6wins-0.14per pick66cpaid-21.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8b1a…bf3abacked Golden Knights78c275$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.51266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb54e…8f34backed Sharks13c244.28$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d15…907bbacked Sharks30c222.63$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c3…61ebbacked Golden Knights70c213$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.91353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc069…80ebbacked Sharks29c206.58$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.87875%6 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+104.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Sharks30c205$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5872444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9937…6202backed Golden Knights72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+56.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd14…feb3backed Golden Knights72c199.99$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+42.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Golden Knights71c196.62$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6224945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Sharks9c161.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.614045%18 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d65…a4abbacked Golden Knights71c144.13$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Golden Knights72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8913562.2%84 W · 51 L+0.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf59f…3be9backed Sharks29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403455.9%19 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Sharks14c135.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196137.7%23 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Golden Knights70c122.08$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6213361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Sharks29c113.12$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8148654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c67…59c0backed Golden Knights71c105.63$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.631376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Sharks29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2913953.2%74 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Golden Knights70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3050857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b68…795bbacked Sharks30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304839.6%19 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Golden Knights71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2981846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Golden Knights70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3050049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64cc…ad9dbacked Golden Knights71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49e0…676fbacked Sharks29c89.66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31d2…c25dbacked Golden Knights72c88.89$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.891861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61d7…6c5bbacked Golden Knights71c85.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Sharks30c82.8$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6938040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x764b…00e0backed Sharks30c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Golden Knights68c75.23$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0719150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Sharks28c72.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b03…7d7ebacked Golden Knights71c70.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Golden Knights72c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.617054.7%93 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Golden Knights72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4419852.5%104 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x870c…b309backed Sharks30c67.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcaf2…13bebacked Golden Knights71c65.37$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Golden Knights80c58.74$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7585464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9660…aedebacked Golden Knights71c53.52$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.521656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20fa…5ed9backed Sharks30c53.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3607…d015backed Sharks28c52.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1560%0 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa1d5…22c9backed Sharks29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x145b…7ca4backed Golden Knights72c50.42$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.122653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Golden Knights71c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7530155.1%166 W · 135 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8aef…ad3fbacked Sharks30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f1e…4267backed Golden Knights71c47$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.63450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x463d…49f3backed Sharks28c45.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick44cpaid-73.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fc5…d502backed Golden Knights71c43.63$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.655100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2474…4957backed Golden Knights72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.26168.9%42 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Sharks31c37.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5262944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a67…a513backed Golden Knights71c36.75$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4202…9611backed Golden Knights71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.216959.4%41 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf611…3dccbacked Golden Knights72c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.72560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed7…35fcbacked Golden Knights71c33.73$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd6c…5965backed Golden Knights69c33.41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d1d…7c08backed Golden Knights69c32.47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb69…69d6backed Golden Knights71c31.24$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.061250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed74…16dfbacked Golden Knights71c30.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.994100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5de0…09a1backed Golden Knights71c30.54$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.855100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb28b…e410backed Golden Knights70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-52%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x95b6…1777backed Golden Knights69c29.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc563…9636backed Golden Knights71c29.27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.493100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a15…eac3backed Golden Knights71c28.59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.297659.2%45 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d43…d4f7backed Golden Knights71c28.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb989…2f2abacked Golden Knights71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.17955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3905…eee1backed Golden Knights72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78560%3 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick76cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc115…36d7backed Golden Knights71c27.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca7…63a7backed Golden Knights69c27.29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.46475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa8c…b19dbacked Golden Knights70c26.69$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8c…a752backed Golden Knights71c26.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.68475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00bb…05a5backed Golden Knights69c25.63$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.95475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.