TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Cardinals vs. Panthers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Panthersof Cardinals, Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$311,711
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$330,448

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $311,711 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 539 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2317…c891backed Cardinals54c21,779$11,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,786.085650%28 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…6af8backed Cardinals68c20,000$13,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,50012570.4%88 W · 37 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa84b…5055backed Panthers80c18,490$14,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,750.163976.9%30 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Panthers31c17,944$5,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,310.4532438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Panthers32c17,060$5,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,600.5525137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Cardinals10c12,421$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.8217823%41 W · 137 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Cardinals35c11,015$3,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,889.3522638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Panthers30c10,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,999.977042.9%30 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Panthers36c9,856$3,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,330.5344246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc822…c185backed Panthers46c8,964$4,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,840.662035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Panthers40c7,312$2,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,408.4360049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75e0…fe50backed Cardinals33c5,417$1,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782.8810960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Cardinals67c4,858$3,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,266.1727339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Cardinals68c4,676$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,18015944%70 W · 89 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Cardinals68c4,160$2,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,827.269259.8%55 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ee…68f3backed Cardinals68c3,750$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5501154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcede…d9ebbacked Cardinals59c3,538$2,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,083.193764.9%24 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x32b2…841cbacked Cardinals19c3,512$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6531811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-40.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Cardinals62c3,402$2,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,110.0616259.9%97 W · 65 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ac1…45dbbacked Cardinals69c3,046$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1007754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Panthers49c3,022$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.6320634.5%71 W · 135 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc64d…a1c9backed Panthers31c3,000$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0706233.9%21 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…3e05backed Panthers31c2,951$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,035.99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a6b…1262backed Cardinals68c2,941$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Cardinals67c2,849$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,908.6414757.1%84 W · 63 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc68a…0e4abacked Panthers33c2,824$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,892.24757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Cardinals45c2,796$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.331361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04eb…36a7backed Cardinals68c2,794$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90019361.7%119 W · 74 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Panthers34c2,644$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,753.9931848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Cardinals63c2,640$1,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,673.9714750.3%74 W · 73 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c5b…50c9backed Panthers58c2,510$1,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.181145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Panthers33c2,503$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,677.39732%31 W · 66 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Cardinals67c2,500$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,674.9828556.5%161 W · 124 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe59d…fe58backed Cardinals69c2,333$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.621770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb58…91debacked Cardinals69c2,301$1,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,587.6230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6ee…7517backed Cardinals68c2,200$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Panthers33c2,099$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.2624738.1%94 W · 153 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Panthers62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76011139.6%44 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Cardinals67c2,000$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.273568.6%24 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6afa…8f06backed Cardinals69c1,714$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.451625%4 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-45.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Cardinals68c1,596$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.123135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6d9…2d2ebacked Panthers76c1,582$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.371040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb31…dc5cbacked Panthers50c1,581$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.122360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Panthers67c1,483$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.461838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Cardinals69c1,449$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005565.5%36 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb65d…3757backed Cardinals68c1,408$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.244146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a5e…c869backed Panthers34c1,248$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.6811738.5%45 W · 72 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd4b4…aaafbacked Panthers33c1,150$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x541e…e793backed Panthers34c1,115$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.053259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf024…8417backed Panthers33c1,050$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals69c1,000$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.3517558.9%103 W · 72 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb272…21d8backed Cardinals1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…6bd1backed Panthers54c1,000$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4652100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Panthers33c999.98$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.9811346.9%53 W · 60 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Cardinals68c999.96$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.9733047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Cardinals43c954.81$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.053842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Panthers77c874.06$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.78953.9%48 W · 41 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3832…35e1backed Cardinals35c861.37$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016451.2%84 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Panthers78c849.77$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.773557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Cardinals69c837.04$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.67058.6%41 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-4.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Cardinals57c800$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46029356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Cardinals39c795.76$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.624546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Cardinals7c786$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.194311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ed7…537abacked Cardinals80c780.1$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.085848.3%28 W · 30 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76f9…3c97backed Panthers33c772.73$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.73540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals69c750$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51538459.9%230 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea3e…b956backed Cardinals70c750$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52524351.4%125 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bce…558cbacked Cardinals68c735.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016275.3%122 W · 40 L+17.3wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+17.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5228…93eebacked Cardinals70c732.56$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.791154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Cardinals35c713.06$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.352828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Panthers40c695.12$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.8410345.6%47 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Cardinals62c689.09$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43012760.6%77 W · 50 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Cardinals42c676$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.018650%43 W · 43 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0db…ae23backed Panthers58c674.78$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.21952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+5.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcac2…d644backed Panthers77c660.92$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.031662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Cardinals63c643.34$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40512249.2%60 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe105…0bf0backed Cardinals69c616.95$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Panthers61c600$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23522142.1%93 W · 128 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd95…99f2backed Panthers31c500$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34515722.3%35 W · 122 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Panthers68c489.26$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.673759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3b…e948backed Panthers69c487.55$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.534065%26 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Cardinals70c485.71$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3405766.7%38 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3a…6e0ebacked Cardinals22c455.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007252.8%38 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Panthers32c443.95$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.8920736.2%75 W · 132 L-13.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2921…eb0bbacked Cardinals60c432.4$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.771770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Panthers43c421.18$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.863748.6%18 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+6.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3538…e615backed Cardinals55c410.03$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.521338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc26f…7055backed Cardinals64c400$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2541675%12 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x721c…9bfcbacked Cardinals50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b6d…58f6backed Panthers79c400$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb924…0886backed Panthers71c367.74$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.3715132.5%49 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e1b…7ccabacked Cardinals68c367.65$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013655.9%76 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd54a…47b8backed Panthers29c367.01$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.58560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+50.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Cardinals70c357.14$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502857.1%16 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Panthers30c353.41$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.389645.8%44 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Cardinals29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96e3…83d2backed Panthers31c322.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.572941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4851…16dbbacked Panthers32c318.45$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.5421251.9%110 W · 102 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e26…b14abacked Panthers32c312.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.848762.1%54 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce10…902bbacked Cardinals67c305.97$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054665.2%30 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.