NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9af6c7fe8ce57447c4cc64d754f7facd716d2d2185d50cc267c700b4f5f27013
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $298,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $310,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 494 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Grizzlies | 76c | 20,695$15,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,925.24 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Grizzlies | 48c | 20,137$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,537.28 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Celtics | 36c | 11,773$4,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,269.43 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Celtics | 57c | 9,949$5,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,705.32 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 56c | 9,736$5,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,250.23 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f09…02b6backed Celtics | 35c | 8,885$3,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,109.89 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Grizzlies | 38c | 7,474$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,653.93 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Celtics | 41c | 6,267$2,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.46 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Grizzlies | 29c | 4,976$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,533.14 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Grizzlies | 37c | 4,289$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,692.42 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Celtics | 71c | 3,809$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.53 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…61b3backed Celtics | 42c | 3,672$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.68 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Celtics | 71c | 3,185$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.27 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed Grizzlies | 39c | 3,120$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.81 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Grizzlies | 45c | 3,100$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.08 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Celtics | 37c | 2,950$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.5 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…a3f0backed Celtics | 2c | 2,829$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies | 29c | 2,750$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Celtics | 1c | 2,500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Celtics | 71c | 2,048$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.04 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…b886backed Grizzlies | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…1390backed Celtics | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +63%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Grizzlies | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.98 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Celtics | 73c | 1,671$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.58 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Celtics | 45c | 1,587$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.37 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Celtics | 73c | 1,536$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.32 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…d647backed Celtics | 37c | 1,410$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ea…3ab2backed Celtics | 72c | 1,336$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.92 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Celtics | 67c | 1,317$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.81 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed Grizzlies | 65c | 1,234$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.9 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Celtics | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Celtics | 70c | 1,100$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ded…5d66backed Celtics | 37c | 1,085$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.63 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Celtics | 52c | 1,080$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.85 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Grizzlies | 31c | 1,018$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.79 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c6…5a68backed Grizzlies | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.12 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Grizzlies | 29c | 999.95$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.54 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Celtics | 69c | 999.93$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.95 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce54…90bcbacked Celtics | 70c | 999.54$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.68 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Grizzlies | 29c | 999$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.54 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc58…c1b6backed Celtics | 57c | 900$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Celtics | 75c | 868.05$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Grizzlies | 27c | 858.56$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.75 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Celtics | 33c | 849.98$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.22 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…9826backed Grizzlies | 59c | 843.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.25 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfe…cb69backed Celtics | 78c | 763.05$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Celtics | 71c | 702.16$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.22 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Celtics | 52c | 701.78$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.61 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…a4ccbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 690$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.8 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Celtics | 70c | 599.98$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.98 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Celtics | 60c | 562.62$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.14 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Celtics | 35c | 560.4$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.14 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Grizzlies | 43c | 534.65$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.9 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Celtics | 38c | 519.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c43…28fbbacked Celtics | 41c | 512.95$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…3027backed Celtics | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Celtics | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 101 | 29.7%30 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Celtics | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Celtics | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Grizzlies | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…c109backed Grizzlies | 66c | 499.7$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.9 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Celtics | 70c | 450$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.5 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Grizzlies | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Celtics | 45c | 435.34$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.12 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…ec9bbacked Celtics | 70c | 432.07$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.45 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdab…1f2fbacked Celtics | 73c | 416.34$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Celtics | 42c | 401.48$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.59 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Celtics | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.51 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420f…e3f4backed Grizzlies | 31c | 400$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Celtics | 45c | 396.68$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.14 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19dd…2cffbacked Celtics | 39c | 393.19$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Grizzlies | 53c | 374.46$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.16 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Grizzlies | 38c | 368.86$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.43 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked Celtics | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d2…49cebacked Grizzlies | 29c | 350$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x185c…dee1backed Celtics | 72c | 348.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…8f8bbacked Grizzlies | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…d18cbacked Celtics | 70c | 331.11$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.78 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…1cfabacked Grizzlies | 30c | 326.51$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.88 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e17…779abacked Grizzlies | 57c | 326.24$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.26 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Grizzlies | 31c | 325.48$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.58 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…f468backed Grizzlies | 38c | 325$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…4da9backed Celtics | 70c | 321.43$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Celtics | 64c | 320$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Celtics | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Celtics | 41c | 300$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d7…8adcbacked Celtics | 59c | 298.67$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…90d7backed Celtics | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x369c…1006backed Grizzlies | 31c | 290.32$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…6877backed Grizzlies | 31c | 290.32$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…a4f4backed Celtics | 38c | 286.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Celtics | 38c | 274.52$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.82 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Celtics | 49c | 261.83$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed Celtics | 66c | 254.81$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.79 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Grizzlies | 41c | 250$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.5 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Grizzlies | 26c | 245.39$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.59 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Celtics | 74c | 230.71$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.57 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…2e65backed Celtics | 72c | 229.61$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.35 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Grizzlies | 28c | 228.28$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.36 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.