NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10b1652ec51cb0bf54c08bd7975fd7d09957350e42b66ff1b322a5aba22bcf55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Wizards, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $168,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Wizards | 22c | 24,317$5,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,381.01 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Bucks | 75c | 19,131$14,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,753.24 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 22c | 15,038$3,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,373.28 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Bucks | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wizards | 9c | 9,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Wizards | 16c | 8,971$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.66 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Wizards | 23c | 8,794$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.46 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Wizards | 14c | 4,354$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Wizards | 18c | 3,890$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.19 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Bucks | 78c | 3,876$3,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.17 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Wizards | 14c | 3,104$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.57 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 18c | 3,020$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.6 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wizards | 10c | 2,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40df…3ad2backed Wizards | 20c | 2,161$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe869…fc0ebacked Wizards | 25c | 2,107$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4e…270ebacked Wizards | 21c | 1,994$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaef…1abebacked Wizards | 26c | 1,824$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6009…acf9backed Bucks | 76c | 1,579$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.95 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Wizards | 10c | 1,552$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.26 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…001bbacked Wizards | 25c | 1,512$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89de…f09cbacked Wizards | 17c | 1,485$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Wizards | 19c | 1,430$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.02 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…b459backed Bucks | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…e341backed Wizards | 25c | 1,260$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bucks | 78c | 1,251$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.56 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Wizards | 15c | 1,175$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.75 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked Bucks | 77c | 1,169$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.83 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…2dd9backed Bucks | 77c | 1,169$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.83 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wizards | 23c | 1,100$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Bucks | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Wizards | 1c | 927.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Wizards | 14c | 858.02$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.31 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bucks | 77c | 800$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Wizards | 14c | 720$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…53b4backed Bucks | 77c | 714.29$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed Wizards | 15c | 666.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac2…d644backed Bucks | 76c | 621.51$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.16 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd152…a8c7backed Wizards | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa728…5a45backed Wizards | 18c | 569.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wizards | 10c | 557.44$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Bucks | 79c | 540.96$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.96 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb3…b1c1backed Wizards | 10c | 535$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…4891backed Wizards | 10c | 523$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Bucks | 77c | 521.87$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.03 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…6a65backed Bucks | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Bucks | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Wizards | 3c | 499.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…7055backed Bucks | 72c | 491.44$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Bucks | 76c | 476.32$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.32 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Wizards | 18c | 416.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1b…f044backed Wizards | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…3070backed Wizards | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 27cpaid | +182.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Bucks | 79c | 340$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…ae23backed Wizards | 18c | 340$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…a071backed Wizards | 10c | 330$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Bucks | 75c | 320.48$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.69 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Bucks | 70c | 317.21$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.21 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…7fa3backed Bucks | 74c | 310.81$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Bucks | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x894c…1c16backed Wizards | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Wizards | 18c | 290$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Wizards | 7c | 290$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…5c09backed Bucks | 77c | 272.73$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Wizards | 15c | 272.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Bucks | 75c | 265.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bc…6b4abacked Wizards | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Bucks | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 351 | 65.2%229 W · 122 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d8…2357backed Wizards | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee1…9200backed Wizards | 10c | 247$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Bucks | 77c | 244.9$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 269 | 33.5%90 W · 179 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd19…1b5ebacked Bucks | 79c | 222.87$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Wizards | 15c | 221.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e30…4441backed Bucks | 76c | 210.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef6b…134dbacked Bucks | 76c | 205.84$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Wizards | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Wizards | 7c | 182.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Bucks | 79c | 152.69$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…3e31backed Wizards | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +135.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc9…f293backed Wizards | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…6519backed Wizards | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Wizards | 35c | 145.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Wizards | 10c | 144.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Wizards | 26c | 130.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…9c55backed Bucks | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Bucks | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 186 | 66.1%123 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe555…782fbacked Wizards | 15c | 126.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Bucks | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…5038backed Bucks | 75c | 126.54$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…e43bbacked Bucks | 76c | 118.42$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Wizards | 15c | 114.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Wizards | 10c | 101.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…00e4backed Bucks | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…3327backed Wizards | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Wizards | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb180…e610backed Wizards | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…ec9bbacked Wizards | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Wizards | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…06edbacked Wizards | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 883 | 35.3%312 W · 571 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…ed0ebacked Wizards | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c67…59c0backed Bucks | 76c | 98.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.