NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Knicks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5064fd94a64e230052b4198edb82834834547c5c7082df0d7328af39a515902a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Magic, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x260a…dbf6backed Magic | 0c | 21,260$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Magic | 6c | 10,279$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.5 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Knicks | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.92 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Magic | 32c | 6,625$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.87 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Magic | 39c | 6,500$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,510 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…a960backed Magic | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Magic | 38c | 4,744$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.32 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…2f33backed Magic | 38c | 3,105$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.81 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…15e2backed Magic | 3c | 3,100$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e90…2097backed Magic | 37c | 3,081$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Magic | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Knicks | 64c | 2,813$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.5 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Knicks | 65c | 2,550$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.44 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Magic | 12c | 2,527$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.99 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Knicks | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.03 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Magic | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd22…2df2backed Magic | 2c | 2,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Magic | 4c | 1,991$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1647…2187backed Magic | 37c | 1,892$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb09…4e3bbacked Knicks | 64c | 1,873$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…8d0fbacked Magic | 36c | 1,623$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.28 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8560…71b0backed Knicks | 63c | 1,589$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Knicks | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Knicks | 62c | 1,500$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Magic | 2c | 1,500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Knicks | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Knicks | 67c | 1,488$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.3 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…09e1backed Knicks | 64c | 1,456$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.98 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8df2…97a5backed Magic | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Magic | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f34…cfafbacked Magic | 11c | 1,035$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Magic | 2c | 1,030$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Magic | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7782…5239backed Knicks | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Magic | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Magic | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Knicks | 63c | 994.71$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.04 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Magic | 31c | 849.37$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.53 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Magic | 25c | 815.53$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.67 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Magic | 35c | 800$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fc…b724backed Magic | 36c | 800$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…4a50backed Magic | 37c | 729.73$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Knicks | 67c | 699.95$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.98 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ea…3ab2backed Knicks | 66c | 687.52$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.32 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89ea…cbc5backed Magic | 37c | 681.56$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…826bbacked Magic | 6c | 599.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Magic | 38c | 579.16$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.08 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…500fbacked Magic | 9c | 569.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Magic | 37c | 536.27$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.42 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Magic | 35c | 533.31$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.44 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…53b3backed Magic | 36c | 520.42$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.15 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Knicks | 63c | 436.7$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.58 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…516cbacked Magic | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…3acebacked Knicks | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…3fe7backed Magic | 37c | 395.81$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…e540backed Magic | 32c | 378.77$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.95 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…d18cbacked Magic | 35c | 351.95$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.45 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Magic | 36c | 351.64$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.59 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Magic | 37c | 340.54$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 5c | 327.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Magic | 30c | 323.82$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca4…49c2backed Magic | 32c | 316$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…141ebacked Magic | 25c | 315.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb27e…336fbacked Knicks | 66c | 305$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f7…92b9backed Magic | 37c | 304.32$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Knicks | 66c | 302.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.77 | 186 | 66.1%123 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Knicks | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3df…d0f8backed Knicks | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…1272backed Magic | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a2…5374backed Magic | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed Magic | 37c | 267.57$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25c9…2c0ebacked Knicks | 66c | 264.7$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3002…a7dcbacked Knicks | 64c | 260.08$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.63 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…e091backed Magic | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Knicks | 64c | 256.25$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Magic | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x212e…8834backed Magic | 37c | 243.24$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a0…63b5backed Magic | 37c | 243.24$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Knicks | 64c | 242.19$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.19 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd58f…e787backed Magic | 33c | 216$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Magic | 34c | 205$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Magic | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Magic | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696b…94f5backed Magic | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…9d0abacked Magic | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…e446backed Magic | 32c | 199.95$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.98 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…cd66backed Magic | 33c | 199.94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…4f6dbacked Knicks | 67c | 198.48$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Magic | 8c | 197.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…fc55backed Magic | 33c | 181.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Magic | 45c | 164.52$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…6f56backed Magic | 26c | 163.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Knicks | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Knicks | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3de9…50b9backed Magic | 32c | 155.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -80%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa0…fcc4backed Knicks | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed Magic | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…8f5fbacked Magic | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc5…817ebacked Knicks | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7b…a592backed Knicks | 64c | 149.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.