TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Red Wings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Red Wingsof Golden Knights, Red Wings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$134,155
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$142,622

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,155 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe505…d18bbacked Red Wings42c32,026$13,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,617.896357.1%36 W · 27 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Golden Knights61c26,023$16,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,0007044.3%31 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights58c17,507$10,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,191.961,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Red Wings38c14,314$5,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,861.5792848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Golden Knights53c11,641$6,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,175.231,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7239…6591backed Red Wings47c8,712$4,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,617.14151.2%21 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Red Wings39c6,030$2,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,678.341,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Red Wings63c5,918$3,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,207.591,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Golden Knights49c5,513$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,680.3228842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Golden Knights57c4,225$2,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,408.011,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Golden Knights22c3,853$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84321620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0e3…c43cbacked Golden Knights61c3,109$1,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,896.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a4c…0e84backed Golden Knights55c2,847$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Golden Knights7c2,792$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9532331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Golden Knights37c2,703$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005334%18 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Red Wings46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08011145.9%51 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Golden Knights58c1,972$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.5622842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Red Wings38c1,734$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.0811533%38 W · 77 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Golden Knights60c1,666$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.68536.5%31 W · 54 L-11.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Red Wings42c1,601$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.8937738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Red Wings40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick35cpaid+82.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4345…77fabacked Red Wings75c1,335$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.672263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Red Wings47c1,277$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.0610343.7%45 W · 58 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Red Wings42c1,125$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.7215663.5%99 W · 57 L+17.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Golden Knights58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.0249351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac9…9678backed Red Wings46c999.88$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.944847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Golden Knights55c975.99$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.9632251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f80…cf55backed Golden Knights54c914.07$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.61442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Golden Knights57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87cf…25a4backed Golden Knights57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2b8…b745backed Red Wings40c833$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.82347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…2318backed Red Wings40c832.98$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.79633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Red Wings43c769.85$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.033,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Golden Knights58c723$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.3475155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Red Wings43c697.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.6727958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Red Wings48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3251353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x330a…438cbacked Golden Knights58c600$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0b2…b7febacked Red Wings44c576.86$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.04475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Red Wings44c511.01$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.5172444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18ca…9bf2backed Red Wings42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-41.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9e9…0501backed Golden Knights58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+47%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Golden Knights58c497.17$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.430549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Red Wings39c460$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.679251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4d5…fe48backed Golden Knights40c458.62$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d57…c4a7backed Red Wings47c426.7$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.152100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Golden Knights54c371.44$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.589750.5%49 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Golden Knights55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010147.5%48 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Golden Knights55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011365.5%74 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Golden Knights30c350.1$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.038451.2%43 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43ff…30e8backed Golden Knights48c319.86$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.1920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Golden Knights61c256$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.1624457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Golden Knights55c254.55$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc20c…fa4bbacked Golden Knights60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504650%23 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Golden Knights16c249.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3591334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec16…07f9backed Red Wings41c236.59$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.592751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Red Wings42c227.71$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0884051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Red Wings42c213$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.0760549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Golden Knights54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1086654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Golden Knights59c181.41$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0321255.7%118 W · 94 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Golden Knights61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…bc89backed Golden Knights55c163.49$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.921921.1%4 W · 15 L-6.3wins-0.33per pick54cpaid-63.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Red Wings38c144$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.281,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a58…6caebacked Golden Knights58c143.47$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Golden Knights56c134.97$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2228440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Golden Knights30c130.03$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0117363%109 W · 64 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc21…e2dcbacked Golden Knights60c116.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4623…4685backed Red Wings41c116.59$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79b2…4874backed Golden Knights54c111.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9006…ff0abacked Red Wings41c109.76$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.76742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2171…bc1fbacked Red Wings47c100.47$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.25666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Red Wings41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5935154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Golden Knights60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6050857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Golden Knights55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5527643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Golden Knights53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x008b…439bbacked Golden Knights54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Golden Knights53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5366951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x930a…07cdbacked Golden Knights54c99.33$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf061…2572backed Golden Knights30c98.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28eb…6bbbbacked Golden Knights54c97.8$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.81250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a6d…72b3backed Red Wings47c91.74$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+45%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Golden Knights55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033145%149 W · 182 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Red Wings40c89.41$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.257749.4%38 W · 39 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x54f4…0d7bbacked Golden Knights54c88.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.36425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3530…7f2fbacked Golden Knights54c88.19$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd682…0570backed Red Wings47c86.96$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.09450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe862…7d6bbacked Golden Knights58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509955.6%55 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20f2…f805backed Red Wings47c85.17$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+48.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32f5…67e0backed Red Wings47c84.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Golden Knights60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6787…321dbacked Golden Knights60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7592…b5cbbacked Golden Knights60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503360.6%20 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Red Wings49c81.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.798644.2%38 W · 48 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x792b…0775backed Golden Knights60c75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520861.5%128 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd8…5ddcbacked Red Wings41c73.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.173943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5220…4e88backed Golden Knights55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403868.4%26 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Red Wings42c71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4120942.6%89 W · 120 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bba…3146backed Golden Knights29c68.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8540%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa191…7facbacked Golden Knights60c66.23$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402657.7%15 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Golden Knights58c64.63$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.229748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…80f7backed Golden Knights57c64.32$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.66366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.