TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Avalanche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Stars, Avalanche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$331,815
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$341,031

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $331,815 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x519f…2af7backed Stars51c50,393$25,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,6007044.3%31 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Avalanche47c29,428$13,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,581.7192848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Avalanche61c23,979$14,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,294.191,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Avalanche54c16,954$9,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,802.6955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Stars35c16,197$5,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,612.0532331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49dd…2a32backed Avalanche51c8,711$4,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,267.356163.9%39 W · 22 L+8.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Stars44c8,163$3,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,630.7628842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7239…6591backed Avalanche55c4,916$2,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,213.24151.2%21 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…b2d1backed Stars43c3,428$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,462.196940.6%28 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Avalanche52c3,000$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,45049351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Stars52c2,465$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.583,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Stars43c1,931$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.34862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick35cpaid+82.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Stars46c1,856$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.7922842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Avalanche62c1,640$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.1137254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Avalanche55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6751,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e9…0501backed Avalanche56c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6601471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+47%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x18ca…9bf2backed Stars44c1,498$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.121428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-41.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Avalanche40c1,265$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7655334%18 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40b3…6159backed Avalanche56c1,244$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.968870.5%62 W · 26 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Stars1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Avalanche58c1,000$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.3885148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Stars44c999.47$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.7764242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef9c…5dfbbacked Stars45c800.4$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35750%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d57…c4a7backed Avalanche57c747.84$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.572100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Avalanche51c741$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.451,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Stars8c703.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.51895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc20c…fa4bbacked Avalanche56c696.43$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.434650%23 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Stars8c685.06$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.818425%21 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Stars50c618.16$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.173259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0b0…276fbacked Avalanche57c524.64$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.59785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+70.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche56c514.73$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.631,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Stars20c500.01$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7991334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Stars44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22072444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Stars10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5054418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Avalanche51c448.42$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.3915663.5%99 W · 57 L+17.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Avalanche56c444$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.362842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Avalanche52c439.63$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.0237738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Avalanche55c432.22$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.597651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Stars43c386.95$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.3975155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Avalanche57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8813457.5%77 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Stars42c319.98$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.391,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Stars51c314.12$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1604158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc282…0c5fbacked Stars13c301.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.732828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-33.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ba2…eaa7backed Avalanche52c300$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1451764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f5c…b5d2backed Avalanche58c276.02$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.03250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Avalanche58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6210147.5%48 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe81a…20b2backed Stars44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-45.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Avalanche55c245.45$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.4521620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Avalanche53c244.77$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.3184051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Stars45c223.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Avalanche54c213.68$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.2928440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a0e…4dc6backed Avalanche57c210.53$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.534156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Avalanche56c204.06$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9311157.7%64 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Stars44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8881846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x46cd…fde9backed Stars65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Avalanche57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4415456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec16…07f9backed Avalanche57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.442751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Avalanche57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4412859.4%76 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60fb…ca7abacked Avalanche57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13b0…da9abacked Avalanche79c155.71$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+72.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Avalanche40c155.38$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.232352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a6…e612backed Stars44c123.36$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa581…b0bcbacked Stars44c116.03$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.54560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+43.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x008b…439bbacked Avalanche57c110$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.32751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79b2…4874backed Avalanche57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.262948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Avalanche57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4335154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb63…79debacked Stars44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Avalanche54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4627643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Avalanche56c99.98$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9950857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59be…c8f9backed Avalanche57c94.95$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37a7…dd85backed Stars44c94.84$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c47…cd52backed Avalanche57c94.58$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.67475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a28…7de3backed Avalanche57c91.35$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Stars44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4076450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bd3…ef83backed Avalanche57c89.25$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.38650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7592…b5cbbacked Avalanche57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.723360.6%20 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21a8…0f02backed Avalanche57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f90…92dbbacked Avalanche57c82.23$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x030f…4c3bbacked Avalanche57c81.74$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.15450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bd5…92dbbacked Stars44c80.66$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.49633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d8…9a77backed Avalanche53c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.47861.5%48 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Avalanche56c74.98$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9973157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5220…4e88backed Avalanche57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.183868.4%26 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71b7…958dbacked Avalanche57c69.83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8311558.3%67 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x977f…a9bfbacked Stars44c68.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe862…7d6bbacked Stars44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309955.6%55 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd8…5ddcbacked Stars49c65.77$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Avalanche56c61.03$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8544848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa66d…745fbacked Stars44c60.14$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4650%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Stars51c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3538744.2%171 W · 216 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Avalanche55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2723462%145 W · 89 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Stars44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2541954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x635d…5025backed Avalanche56c53.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.757936.7%29 W · 50 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Avalanche53c52.22$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5429748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Stars49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258644.2%38 W · 48 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd10a…91e9backed Avalanche40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3026059.6%155 W · 105 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8181…8b39backed Avalanche56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeeef…d4fbbacked Avalanche58c46.74$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.74650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.