NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Hurricanes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca5341f942cf5e979c1fe0b2c7cee1ad3f927f72cd73890681b6cd45b901b484
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hurricanesof Avalanche, Hurricanes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Hurricanes | 60c | 2,500$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Avalanche | 40c | 1,519$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.93 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Hurricanes | 57c | 1,239$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.67 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Avalanche | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Avalanche | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Hurricanes | 58c | 999.97$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Avalanche | 5c | 729.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…bdb8backed Avalanche | 42c | 492.93$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c1…06cebacked Avalanche | 42c | 492.88$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…47d1backed Avalanche | 42c | 492.86$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…3b5dbacked Avalanche | 42c | 492.83$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.99 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Avalanche | 41c | 430.25$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.41 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Avalanche | 9c | 279.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Hurricanes | 61c | 256$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…f3e7backed Avalanche | 44c | 226.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hurricanes | 74c | 210$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hurricanes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Hurricanes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a2…a50dbacked Hurricanes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Avalanche | 40c | 180.65$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.26 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Hurricanes | 59c | 170.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.85 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Hurricanes | 60c | 165.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Hurricanes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Avalanche | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…cb4dbacked Hurricanes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Avalanche | 41c | 98.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Hurricanes | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Avalanche | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Hurricanes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 96 | 65.6%63 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0afe…adb6backed Avalanche | 42c | 59.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Hurricanes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…750bbacked Hurricanes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Hurricanes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a32…ae7bbacked Hurricanes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479f…bb7dbacked Hurricanes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Avalanche | 42c | 47.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce4…7addbacked Hurricanes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x868d…b09cbacked Avalanche | 42c | 33.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6083…aedfbacked Hurricanes | 60c | 33.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c1…a7cbbacked Hurricanes | 61c | 32.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c02…3690backed Hurricanes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Hurricanes | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…4957backed Hurricanes | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb541…947fbacked Hurricanes | 57c | 21.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…52dbbacked Hurricanes | 60c | 20.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57be…2750backed Hurricanes | 61c | 18.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…866dbacked Hurricanes | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.